Strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is driving the market’s near-certain consensus that Tel Aviv’s maximum temperature on May 17 will reach 35 °C or higher. Israel Meteorological Service and global ensemble models show clear skies with minimal cloud cover and reduced sea-breeze moderation through midday, allowing rapid surface warming that exceeds the May climatological average of 26–28 °C. Recent cooler readings of 24–25 °C on May 15–16 have given way to this warming trend, reflected in trader positioning backed by real capital. The dominant outcome could still shift if late-afternoon convective clouds develop, a stronger onshore flow arrives earlier than modeled, or official observations from Ben Gurion International Airport fall short of forecast peaks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 17?
35°C or higher 99.8%
34°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$71,089 KL.
$71,089 KL.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
35°C or higher 99.8%
34°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$71,089 KL.
$71,089 KL.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is driving the market’s near-certain consensus that Tel Aviv’s maximum temperature on May 17 will reach 35 °C or higher. Israel Meteorological Service and global ensemble models show clear skies with minimal cloud cover and reduced sea-breeze moderation through midday, allowing rapid surface warming that exceeds the May climatological average of 26–28 °C. Recent cooler readings of 24–25 °C on May 15–16 have given way to this warming trend, reflected in trader positioning backed by real capital. The dominant outcome could still shift if late-afternoon convective clouds develop, a stronger onshore flow arrives earlier than modeled, or official observations from Ben Gurion International Airport fall short of forecast peaks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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