Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts have converged on a maximum temperature of 28°C for Tokyo today at the official Otemachi station, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm-air advection and intense afternoon solar heating beneath mostly clear skies. This stable synoptic pattern has kept successive model runs within a narrow range, giving traders high confidence in the outcome and producing near-certain market-implied odds for exactly 28°C. Historical May climatology for the Kanto region supports daytime highs in this range under similar ridge setups. The primary risk remains a late forecast revision or minor station-specific variation before the daily maximum is finalized.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
28°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
$94,164 KL.
$94,164 KL.
May 17, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
$94,164 KL.
$94,164 KL.
May 17, 2026
20°C or below
$3,024 KL.
<1%
21°C
$1,893 KL.
<1%
22°C
$819 KL.
<1%
23°C
$5,290 KL.
<1%
24°C
$8,445 KL.
<1%
25°C
$7,219 KL.
<1%
26°C
$10,417 KL.
<1%
27°C
$14,452 KL.
<1%
28°C
$20,156 KL.
100%
29°C
$12,062 KL.
<1%
30°C or higher
$10,387 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts have converged on a maximum temperature of 28°C for Tokyo today at the official Otemachi station, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm-air advection and intense afternoon solar heating beneath mostly clear skies. This stable synoptic pattern has kept successive model runs within a narrow range, giving traders high confidence in the outcome and producing near-certain market-implied odds for exactly 28°C. Historical May climatology for the Kanto region supports daytime highs in this range under similar ridge setups. The primary risk remains a late forecast revision or minor station-specific variation before the daily maximum is finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$94,164Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts have converged on a maximum temperature of 28°C for Tokyo today at the official Otemachi station, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm-air advection and intense afternoon solar heating beneath mostly clear skies. This stable synoptic pattern has kept successive model runs within a narrow range, giving traders high confidence in the outcome and producing near-certain market-implied odds for exactly 28°C. Historical May climatology for the Kanto region supports daytime highs in this range under similar ridge setups. The primary risk remains a late forecast revision or minor station-specific variation before the daily maximum is finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$94,164Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTJapan Meteorological Agency forecasts have converged on a maximum temperature of 28°C for Tokyo today at the official Otemachi station, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm-air advection and intense afternoon solar heating beneath mostly clear skies. This stable synoptic pattern has kept successive model runs within a narrow range, giving traders high confidence in the outcome and producing near-certain market-implied odds for exactly 28°C. Historical May climatology for the Kanto region supports daytime highs in this range under similar ridge setups. The primary risk remains a late forecast revision or minor station-specific variation before the daily maximum is finalized.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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