Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate Tokyo’s official maximum temperature at the Otemachi station will reach 28 °C on May 17, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm advection and intense solar heating beneath mostly clear skies. This strong model consensus, aligned with climatological norms for mid-May highs around 23–26 °C, has driven near-certain market-implied odds for exactly 28 °C. Traders weigh the limited remaining window for forecast revisions before the daily peak is recorded. Unanticipated cloud cover or a sudden shift in steering winds could still alter the outcome, though current observational data show minimal deviation risk.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$88,867 KL.
$88,867 KL.
May 17, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$88,867 KL.
$88,867 KL.
May 17, 2026
20°C or below
$3,024 KL.
<1%
21°C
$1,893 KL.
<1%
22°C
$819 KL.
<1%
23°C
$5,290 KL.
<1%
24°C
$8,445 KL.
<1%
25°C
$7,219 KL.
<1%
26°C
$10,417 KL.
<1%
27°C
$10,583 KL.
<1%
28°C
$19,728 KL.
100%
29°C
$11,061 KL.
<1%
30°C or higher
$10,387 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate Tokyo’s official maximum temperature at the Otemachi station will reach 28 °C on May 17, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm advection and intense solar heating beneath mostly clear skies. This strong model consensus, aligned with climatological norms for mid-May highs around 23–26 °C, has driven near-certain market-implied odds for exactly 28 °C. Traders weigh the limited remaining window for forecast revisions before the daily peak is recorded. Unanticipated cloud cover or a sudden shift in steering winds could still alter the outcome, though current observational data show minimal deviation risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$88,867Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate Tokyo’s official maximum temperature at the Otemachi station will reach 28 °C on May 17, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm advection and intense solar heating beneath mostly clear skies. This strong model consensus, aligned with climatological norms for mid-May highs around 23–26 °C, has driven near-certain market-implied odds for exactly 28 °C. Traders weigh the limited remaining window for forecast revisions before the daily peak is recorded. Unanticipated cloud cover or a sudden shift in steering winds could still alter the outcome, though current observational data show minimal deviation risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$88,867Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate Tokyo’s official maximum temperature at the Otemachi station will reach 28 °C on May 17, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm advection and intense solar heating beneath mostly clear skies. This strong model consensus, aligned with climatological norms for mid-May highs around 23–26 °C, has driven near-certain market-implied odds for exactly 28 °C. Traders weigh the limited remaining window for forecast revisions before the daily peak is recorded. Unanticipated cloud cover or a sudden shift in steering winds could still alter the outcome, though current observational data show minimal deviation risk.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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