Recent forecast updates from Environment Canada highlight a strengthening southwesterly flow and mostly sunny conditions that have shifted trader expectations toward a daytime high near or above 27 °C for Toronto on May 17. These atmospheric patterns favor rapid daytime warming over Lake Ontario, exceeding the seasonal May average of roughly 19 °C and pushing the market-implied probability for 27 °C or higher to 53.4 %. Model consensus still shows moderate uncertainty from possible afternoon cloud cover or light showers, which keeps the 26 °C outcome at 32.0 % while lower brackets remain minimal. Official temperature observations will resolve the market this evening, with any late-day clearing likely to support the warmer outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Toronto on May 17?
Highest temperature in Toronto on May 17?
27°C or higher 64.5%
26°C 22.7%
25°C 6%
24°C 1.5%
$41,342 KL.
$41,342 KL.
May 17, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
23%
27°C or higher
65%
27°C or higher 64.5%
26°C 22.7%
25°C 6%
24°C 1.5%
$41,342 KL.
$41,342 KL.
May 17, 2026
17°C or below
$6,074 KL.
<1%
18°C
$2,778 KL.
<1%
19°C
$3,094 KL.
<1%
20°C
$2,435 KL.
<1%
21°C
$3,328 KL.
<1%
22°C
$3,713 KL.
<1%
23°C
$4,254 KL.
<1%
24°C
$3,748 KL.
2%
25°C
$3,445 KL.
6%
26°C
$3,323 KL.
23%
27°C or higher
$6,392 KL.
65%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast updates from Environment Canada highlight a strengthening southwesterly flow and mostly sunny conditions that have shifted trader expectations toward a daytime high near or above 27 °C for Toronto on May 17. These atmospheric patterns favor rapid daytime warming over Lake Ontario, exceeding the seasonal May average of roughly 19 °C and pushing the market-implied probability for 27 °C or higher to 53.4 %. Model consensus still shows moderate uncertainty from possible afternoon cloud cover or light showers, which keeps the 26 °C outcome at 32.0 % while lower brackets remain minimal. Official temperature observations will resolve the market this evening, with any late-day clearing likely to support the warmer outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$41,342Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast updates from Environment Canada highlight a strengthening southwesterly flow and mostly sunny conditions that have shifted trader expectations toward a daytime high near or above 27 °C for Toronto on May 17. These atmospheric patterns favor rapid daytime warming over Lake Ontario, exceeding the seasonal May average of roughly 19 °C and pushing the market-implied probability for 27 °C or higher to 53.4 %. Model consensus still shows moderate uncertainty from possible afternoon cloud cover or light showers, which keeps the 26 °C outcome at 32.0 % while lower brackets remain minimal. Official temperature observations will resolve the market this evening, with any late-day clearing likely to support the warmer outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$41,342Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZRecent forecast updates from Environment Canada highlight a strengthening southwesterly flow and mostly sunny conditions that have shifted trader expectations toward a daytime high near or above 27 °C for Toronto on May 17. These atmospheric patterns favor rapid daytime warming over Lake Ontario, exceeding the seasonal May average of roughly 19 °C and pushing the market-implied probability for 27 °C or higher to 53.4 %. Model consensus still shows moderate uncertainty from possible afternoon cloud cover or light showers, which keeps the 26 °C outcome at 32.0 % while lower brackets remain minimal. Official temperature observations will resolve the market this evening, with any late-day clearing likely to support the warmer outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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