Incumbent Democratic Representative Sean Casten secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Niki Conforti in the November general election for Illinois's 6th congressional district. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic due to its partisan lean, established voter patterns in suburban Chicago areas, and historical margins favoring the party. Casten's incumbency provides advantages in fundraising, visibility, and constituent services that have sustained high trader confidence reflected in the 94% Democratic implied probability. Limited Republican resources and the absence of major polling shifts or late developments have kept the race noncompetitive. A significant national political realignment, unexpected controversy involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout favoring the challenger remain the primary factors that could narrow the outcome before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIL-06 House Election Winner
IL-06 House Election Winner
$39,841 KL.
$39,841 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
2%
$39,841 KL.
$39,841 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,926 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$22,915 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Sean Casten secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Niki Conforti in the November general election for Illinois's 6th congressional district. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic due to its partisan lean, established voter patterns in suburban Chicago areas, and historical margins favoring the party. Casten's incumbency provides advantages in fundraising, visibility, and constituent services that have sustained high trader confidence reflected in the 94% Democratic implied probability. Limited Republican resources and the absence of major polling shifts or late developments have kept the race noncompetitive. A significant national political realignment, unexpected controversy involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout favoring the challenger remain the primary factors that could narrow the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$39,841Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Sean Casten secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Niki Conforti in the November general election for Illinois's 6th congressional district. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic due to its partisan lean, established voter patterns in suburban Chicago areas, and historical margins favoring the party. Casten's incumbency provides advantages in fundraising, visibility, and constituent services that have sustained high trader confidence reflected in the 94% Democratic implied probability. Limited Republican resources and the absence of major polling shifts or late developments have kept the race noncompetitive. A significant national political realignment, unexpected controversy involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout favoring the challenger remain the primary factors that could narrow the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$39,841Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Sean Casten secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Niki Conforti in the November general election for Illinois's 6th congressional district. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic due to its partisan lean, established voter patterns in suburban Chicago areas, and historical margins favoring the party. Casten's incumbency provides advantages in fundraising, visibility, and constituent services that have sustained high trader confidence reflected in the 94% Democratic implied probability. Limited Republican resources and the absence of major polling shifts or late developments have kept the race noncompetitive. A significant national political realignment, unexpected controversy involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout favoring the challenger remain the primary factors that could narrow the outcome before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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