Incumbent Republican Mike Bost's unopposed victory in the March 17, 2026, primary solidified his commanding position in the R+22 Illinois 12th District, where Trump won 71% in 2024, driving trader consensus to 93.5% for the Republican Party ahead of the November 3 general election. Bost's fundraising dominance—$1.1 million raised and $706,000 cash on hand as of March 31—vastly outpaces Democratic nominee Julie Fortier's $41,000 raised and $27,000 cash, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and others. With no polling shifts or scandals in recent weeks, markets price in low upset risk, though a major Republican scandal, Democratic national wave, or Fortier surge in fundraising could narrow odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIL-12 House Election Winner
IL-12 House Election Winner
$17,926 KL.
$17,926 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$17,926 KL.
$17,926 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$7,790 KL.
94%
Democratic Party
$10,136 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost's unopposed victory in the March 17, 2026, primary solidified his commanding position in the R+22 Illinois 12th District, where Trump won 71% in 2024, driving trader consensus to 93.5% for the Republican Party ahead of the November 3 general election. Bost's fundraising dominance—$1.1 million raised and $706,000 cash on hand as of March 31—vastly outpaces Democratic nominee Julie Fortier's $41,000 raised and $27,000 cash, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and others. With no polling shifts or scandals in recent weeks, markets price in low upset risk, though a major Republican scandal, Democratic national wave, or Fortier surge in fundraising could narrow odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$17,926Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost's unopposed victory in the March 17, 2026, primary solidified his commanding position in the R+22 Illinois 12th District, where Trump won 71% in 2024, driving trader consensus to 93.5% for the Republican Party ahead of the November 3 general election. Bost's fundraising dominance—$1.1 million raised and $706,000 cash on hand as of March 31—vastly outpaces Democratic nominee Julie Fortier's $41,000 raised and $27,000 cash, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and others. With no polling shifts or scandals in recent weeks, markets price in low upset risk, though a major Republican scandal, Democratic national wave, or Fortier surge in fundraising could narrow odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$17,926Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Bost's unopposed victory in the March 17, 2026, primary solidified his commanding position in the R+22 Illinois 12th District, where Trump won 71% in 2024, driving trader consensus to 93.5% for the Republican Party ahead of the November 3 general election. Bost's fundraising dominance—$1.1 million raised and $706,000 cash on hand as of March 31—vastly outpaces Democratic nominee Julie Fortier's $41,000 raised and $27,000 cash, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and others. With no polling shifts or scandals in recent weeks, markets price in low upset risk, though a major Republican scandal, Democratic national wave, or Fortier surge in fundraising could narrow odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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