Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Ankara on August 27 near 17–19 °C, with clear skies, light northerly winds, and low dew points favoring strong nocturnal radiative cooling under high pressure. This keeps the 17 °C-or-below and 18 °C outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing, as small differences in boundary-layer mixing or exact wind speeds can shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C. Persistent dry air advection from the north has suppressed cloud cover and humidity over the past 48 hours, supporting cooler minima than seasonal averages, while any increase in low-level moisture or slight strengthening of winds would limit further cooling. Updated high-resolution model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance expected before resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Ankara on August 27?
17°C or below 49%
20°C 45%
18°C 45%
21°C 10%
17°C or below
49%
18°C
45%
19°C
6%
20°C
45%
21°C
10%
22°C
10%
23°C
10%
24°C
8%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
4%
17°C or below 49%
20°C 45%
18°C 45%
21°C 10%
17°C or below
49%
18°C
45%
19°C
6%
20°C
45%
21°C
10%
22°C
10%
23°C
10%
24°C
8%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Ankara on August 27 near 17–19 °C, with clear skies, light northerly winds, and low dew points favoring strong nocturnal radiative cooling under high pressure. This keeps the 17 °C-or-below and 18 °C outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing, as small differences in boundary-layer mixing or exact wind speeds can shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C. Persistent dry air advection from the north has suppressed cloud cover and humidity over the past 48 hours, supporting cooler minima than seasonal averages, while any increase in low-level moisture or slight strengthening of winds would limit further cooling. Updated high-resolution model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance expected before resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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