Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooling trend over Ankara driven by a northeast airflow and increased cloud cover with light precipitation chances on August 28–29, shifting the expected daily minimum into the 13–15°C range. Nighttime radiative cooling under variable skies, combined with dew points near 11–13°C and light northerly winds, will determine how low temperatures fall before dawn on the 29th. This uncertainty in cloud timing and exact advection explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–14°C, with traders weighing model consensus against potential clearer intervals that could allow slightly lower readings. Historical late-August baselines for the region show typical minima near 15–17°C, underscoring the current anomaly.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Ankara on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 29?
19°C or higher 54%
16°C 49%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 29, 2026
9°C or below
2%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
25%
16°C
49%
17°C
2%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
54%
19°C or higher 54%
16°C 49%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 29, 2026
9°C or below
$5 KL.
2%
10°C
$0 KL.
26%
11°C
$0 KL.
26%
12°C
$0 KL.
27%
13°C
$0 KL.
27%
14°C
$0 KL.
27%
15°C
$0 KL.
25%
16°C
$10 KL.
49%
17°C
$5 KL.
2%
18°C
$5 KL.
8%
19°C or higher
$5 KL.
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooling trend over Ankara driven by a northeast airflow and increased cloud cover with light precipitation chances on August 28–29, shifting the expected daily minimum into the 13–15°C range. Nighttime radiative cooling under variable skies, combined with dew points near 11–13°C and light northerly winds, will determine how low temperatures fall before dawn on the 29th. This uncertainty in cloud timing and exact advection explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–14°C, with traders weighing model consensus against potential clearer intervals that could allow slightly lower readings. Historical late-August baselines for the region show typical minima near 15–17°C, underscoring the current anomaly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$30Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooling trend over Ankara driven by a northeast airflow and increased cloud cover with light precipitation chances on August 28–29, shifting the expected daily minimum into the 13–15°C range. Nighttime radiative cooling under variable skies, combined with dew points near 11–13°C and light northerly winds, will determine how low temperatures fall before dawn on the 29th. This uncertainty in cloud timing and exact advection explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–14°C, with traders weighing model consensus against potential clearer intervals that could allow slightly lower readings. Historical late-August baselines for the region show typical minima near 15–17°C, underscoring the current anomaly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$30Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooling trend over Ankara driven by a northeast airflow and increased cloud cover with light precipitation chances on August 28–29, shifting the expected daily minimum into the 13–15°C range. Nighttime radiative cooling under variable skies, combined with dew points near 11–13°C and light northerly winds, will determine how low temperatures fall before dawn on the 29th. This uncertainty in cloud timing and exact advection explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–14°C, with traders weighing model consensus against potential clearer intervals that could allow slightly lower readings. Historical late-August baselines for the region show typical minima near 15–17°C, underscoring the current anomaly.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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