Forecast models for Ankara on August 28 show a cooler air mass arriving with daytime highs near 27–29°C and overnight lows clustering between 14–16°C under partly cloudy skies and a 40–60% chance of showers or thunderstorms. This setup creates modest radiative cooling potential overnight, modulated by variable wind speeds from the northwest and increased low-level moisture that limits temperature drops compared to clear conditions. Trader sentiment splits closely between 12°C, 14°C, and 15°C outcomes because ensemble guidance diverges on the exact timing and coverage of clouds versus clearer intervals after midnight, directly affecting the minimum achieved before sunrise. Historical August lows in the region average near 16–17°C, but the current pattern favors slightly below-average values without extreme cold advection. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance expected later today represent the next key data points that could shift implied probabilities.