Recent official forecasts from agencies like the South African Weather Service and international models indicate Cape Town's September 2 minimum will likely settle near 11–12 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, driven by radiational cooling overnight following a stable high-pressure ridge. This places the outcome near the upper end of the tightly bunched 8–11 °C market options, where small differences in cloud cover, dew-point depression, or wind speed can shift the low by 1–2 °C through altered long-wave radiation loss. Stronger northerly flow or increased humidity ahead of an approaching front would favor the warmer 12–14 °C bins, while clearer, drier conditions could allow brief dips toward 8–9 °C; updated model runs tonight will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 2?
8°C 100%
9°C 100%
10°C 100%
11°C 100%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 2, 2026
6°C or below
14%
7°C
97%
8°C
100%
9°C
100%
10°C
100%
11°C
100%
12°C
94%
13°C
38%
14°C
100%
15°C
100%
16°C or higher
98%
8°C 100%
9°C 100%
10°C 100%
11°C 100%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 2, 2026
6°C or below
$5 KL.
14%
7°C
$0 KL.
97%
8°C
$0 KL.
100%
9°C
$0 KL.
100%
10°C
$0 KL.
100%
11°C
$0 KL.
100%
12°C
$0 KL.
94%
13°C
$15 KL.
38%
14°C
$5 KL.
100%
15°C
$5 KL.
100%
16°C or higher
$5 KL.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies like the South African Weather Service and international models indicate Cape Town's September 2 minimum will likely settle near 11–12 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, driven by radiational cooling overnight following a stable high-pressure ridge. This places the outcome near the upper end of the tightly bunched 8–11 °C market options, where small differences in cloud cover, dew-point depression, or wind speed can shift the low by 1–2 °C through altered long-wave radiation loss. Stronger northerly flow or increased humidity ahead of an approaching front would favor the warmer 12–14 °C bins, while clearer, drier conditions could allow brief dips toward 8–9 °C; updated model runs tonight will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Khối lượng
$35Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies like the South African Weather Service and international models indicate Cape Town's September 2 minimum will likely settle near 11–12 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, driven by radiational cooling overnight following a stable high-pressure ridge. This places the outcome near the upper end of the tightly bunched 8–11 °C market options, where small differences in cloud cover, dew-point depression, or wind speed can shift the low by 1–2 °C through altered long-wave radiation loss. Stronger northerly flow or increased humidity ahead of an approaching front would favor the warmer 12–14 °C bins, while clearer, drier conditions could allow brief dips toward 8–9 °C; updated model runs tonight will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$35Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies like the South African Weather Service and international models indicate Cape Town's September 2 minimum will likely settle near 11–12 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, driven by radiational cooling overnight following a stable high-pressure ridge. This places the outcome near the upper end of the tightly bunched 8–11 °C market options, where small differences in cloud cover, dew-point depression, or wind speed can shift the low by 1–2 °C through altered long-wave radiation loss. Stronger northerly flow or increased humidity ahead of an approaching front would favor the warmer 12–14 °C bins, while clearer, drier conditions could allow brief dips toward 8–9 °C; updated model runs tonight will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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