**Forecast models show close agreement on a minimum temperature near 21–22 °C for Chengdu on September 2, reflecting light winds, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, and typical early-September radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin.** Official and ensemble guidance from sources such as ECMWF-derived forecasts and local meteorological services consistently place the overnight low in this narrow range, with highs the preceding day near 30–33 °C. Minimal precipitation and stable high pressure limit dynamic cooling or warming influences, while the urban heat-island effect in Chengdu further moderates extremes. Minor divergences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even market-implied odds between 21 °C and 22 °C; traders appear to weigh the latest model runs and historical climatology (average September lows around 21–23 °C) when pricing the tightly clustered outcomes. Updated forecasts ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalyst.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 2?
20°C 72%
23°C 72%
24°C 72%
25°C 72%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 2, 2026
17°C or below
14%
18°C
14%
19°C
68%
20°C
72%
21°C
53%
22°C
49%
23°C
72%
24°C
72%
25°C
72%
26°C
16%
27°C or higher
6%
20°C 72%
23°C 72%
24°C 72%
25°C 72%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 2, 2026
17°C or below
$5 KL.
14%
18°C
$51 KL.
14%
19°C
$0 KL.
68%
20°C
$0 KL.
72%
21°C
$0 KL.
53%
22°C
$0 KL.
49%
23°C
$0 KL.
72%
24°C
$0 KL.
72%
25°C
$20 KL.
72%
26°C
$5 KL.
16%
27°C or higher
$5 KL.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models show close agreement on a minimum temperature near 21–22 °C for Chengdu on September 2, reflecting light winds, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, and typical early-September radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin.**
Official and ensemble guidance from sources such as ECMWF-derived forecasts and local meteorological services consistently place the overnight low in this narrow range, with highs the preceding day near 30–33 °C. Minimal precipitation and stable high pressure limit dynamic cooling or warming influences, while the urban heat-island effect in Chengdu further moderates extremes. Minor divergences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even market-implied odds between 21 °C and 22 °C; traders appear to weigh the latest model runs and historical climatology (average September lows around 21–23 °C) when pricing the tightly clustered outcomes. Updated forecasts ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$86Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models show close agreement on a minimum temperature near 21–22 °C for Chengdu on September 2, reflecting light winds, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, and typical early-September radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin.**
Official and ensemble guidance from sources such as ECMWF-derived forecasts and local meteorological services consistently place the overnight low in this narrow range, with highs the preceding day near 30–33 °C. Minimal precipitation and stable high pressure limit dynamic cooling or warming influences, while the urban heat-island effect in Chengdu further moderates extremes. Minor divergences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even market-implied odds between 21 °C and 22 °C; traders appear to weigh the latest model runs and historical climatology (average September lows around 21–23 °C) when pricing the tightly clustered outcomes. Updated forecasts ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$86Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models show close agreement on a minimum temperature near 21–22 °C for Chengdu on September 2, reflecting light winds, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, and typical early-September radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin.** Official and ensemble guidance from sources such as ECMWF-derived forecasts and local meteorological services consistently place the overnight low in this narrow range, with highs the preceding day near 30–33 °C. Minimal precipitation and stable high pressure limit dynamic cooling or warming influences, while the urban heat-island effect in Chengdu further moderates extremes. Minor divergences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even market-implied odds between 21 °C and 22 °C; traders appear to weigh the latest model runs and historical climatology (average September lows around 21–23 °C) when pricing the tightly clustered outcomes. Updated forecasts ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalyst.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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