Forecast models from agencies like the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF indicate a mild maritime air mass over southern Finland on September 2, with westerly to northwesterly winds limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping the overnight low near the 11.5°C climatological average. Partly cloudy skies and dew points around 14°C should moderate temperature drops, supporting market-implied odds clustered at 12–15°C. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty from minor model differences in cloud cover and wind speed, which could shift the minimum by 1–2°C, while the low probability for 10°C or below aligns with the absence of strong cold advection. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will refine these estimates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Helsinki on September 2?
13°C 100%
14°C 100%
15°C 100%
12°C 96%
6°C or below
22%
7°C
2%
8°C
39%
9°C
24%
10°C
45%
11°C
32%
12°C
96%
13°C
100%
14°C
100%
15°C
100%
16°C or higher
9%
13°C 100%
14°C 100%
15°C 100%
12°C 96%
6°C or below
22%
7°C
2%
8°C
39%
9°C
24%
10°C
45%
11°C
32%
12°C
96%
13°C
100%
14°C
100%
15°C
100%
16°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF indicate a mild maritime air mass over southern Finland on September 2, with westerly to northwesterly winds limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping the overnight low near the 11.5°C climatological average. Partly cloudy skies and dew points around 14°C should moderate temperature drops, supporting market-implied odds clustered at 12–15°C. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty from minor model differences in cloud cover and wind speed, which could shift the minimum by 1–2°C, while the low probability for 10°C or below aligns with the absence of strong cold advection. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will refine these estimates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp