Hong Kong Observatory data recorded an overnight minimum of exactly 25°C on May 15, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 97.3% implied probability for that precise outcome. In Hong Kong’s subtropical spring climate, typical May lows hover near 24–25°C under stable southerly flow and moderate humidity, with minimal nocturnal cooling once the northeast monsoon retreats. Recent model consensus from regional forecasts showed little diurnal variation or frontal passage that would push the reading below 24°C or above 26°C. While official verification locks resolution, an unexpected instrumentation adjustment or localized urban heat-island effect could still alter the final figure, though such revisions remain statistically rare for this well-monitored station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
25°C 99.5%
18°C or below 1.0%
19°C 1.0%
20°C 1.0%
$64,171 KL.
$64,171 KL.
May 15, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
48%
25°C
100%
26°C
35%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.5%
18°C or below 1.0%
19°C 1.0%
20°C 1.0%
$64,171 KL.
$64,171 KL.
May 15, 2026
18°C or below
$2,543 KL.
1%
19°C
$2,325 KL.
1%
20°C
$2,408 KL.
1%
21°C
$2,288 KL.
1%
22°C
$3,899 KL.
1%
23°C
$5,213 KL.
<1%
24°C
$12,391 KL.
48%
25°C
$8,751 KL.
100%
26°C
$12,015 KL.
35%
27°C
$8,536 KL.
<1%
28°C or higher
$4,203 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory data recorded an overnight minimum of exactly 25°C on May 15, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 97.3% implied probability for that precise outcome. In Hong Kong’s subtropical spring climate, typical May lows hover near 24–25°C under stable southerly flow and moderate humidity, with minimal nocturnal cooling once the northeast monsoon retreats. Recent model consensus from regional forecasts showed little diurnal variation or frontal passage that would push the reading below 24°C or above 26°C. While official verification locks resolution, an unexpected instrumentation adjustment or localized urban heat-island effect could still alter the final figure, though such revisions remain statistically rare for this well-monitored station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$64,171Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Cửa sổ tranh chấp
Cuối cùng
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory data recorded an overnight minimum of exactly 25°C on May 15, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 97.3% implied probability for that precise outcome. In Hong Kong’s subtropical spring climate, typical May lows hover near 24–25°C under stable southerly flow and moderate humidity, with minimal nocturnal cooling once the northeast monsoon retreats. Recent model consensus from regional forecasts showed little diurnal variation or frontal passage that would push the reading below 24°C or above 26°C. While official verification locks resolution, an unexpected instrumentation adjustment or localized urban heat-island effect could still alter the final figure, though such revisions remain statistically rare for this well-monitored station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$64,171Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Cửa sổ tranh chấp
Cuối cùng
Hong Kong Observatory data recorded an overnight minimum of exactly 25°C on May 15, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 97.3% implied probability for that precise outcome. In Hong Kong’s subtropical spring climate, typical May lows hover near 24–25°C under stable southerly flow and moderate humidity, with minimal nocturnal cooling once the northeast monsoon retreats. Recent model consensus from regional forecasts showed little diurnal variation or frontal passage that would push the reading below 24°C or above 26°C. While official verification locks resolution, an unexpected instrumentation adjustment or localized urban heat-island effect could still alter the final figure, though such revisions remain statistically rare for this well-monitored station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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