Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models point to a Thursday night low in San Francisco in the upper 50s to low 60s, driven by persistent onshore marine flow and a moderate marine layer that limits radiational cooling overnight. Typical August climatology shows average lows near 56°F, but recent days have featured slightly elevated minima amid westerly winds of 10–20 mph and increasing cloud cover, supporting the market’s clustered pricing on the 58–61°F bins. Model spread remains modest, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any clearing and local topographic effects across the city’s microclimates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in San Francisco on August 27?
60-61°F 51%
58-59°F 30%
56-57°F 27%
62-63°F 27%
51°F or below
5%
52-53°F
10%
54-55°F
25%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
30%
60-61°F
38%
62-63°F
27%
64-65°F
26%
66-67°F
12%
68-69°F
9%
70°F or higher
3%
60-61°F 51%
58-59°F 30%
56-57°F 27%
62-63°F 27%
51°F or below
5%
52-53°F
10%
54-55°F
25%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
30%
60-61°F
38%
62-63°F
27%
64-65°F
26%
66-67°F
12%
68-69°F
9%
70°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models point to a Thursday night low in San Francisco in the upper 50s to low 60s, driven by persistent onshore marine flow and a moderate marine layer that limits radiational cooling overnight. Typical August climatology shows average lows near 56°F, but recent days have featured slightly elevated minima amid westerly winds of 10–20 mph and increasing cloud cover, supporting the market’s clustered pricing on the 58–61°F bins. Model spread remains modest, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any clearing and local topographic effects across the city’s microclimates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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