Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature in Wuhan on September 2 most likely between 21–23°C, driven by northeasterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling overnight. Scattered showers or drizzle expected during the period introduce modest uncertainty in the precise low, as timing and intensity of precipitation can alter overnight cooling rates. These conditions align closely with climatological September averages for the region, though recent model runs show a tight cluster around 22°C. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow spread, with higher odds assigned to outcomes above 20°C while discounting substantial drops below 19°C absent a stronger cold-air intrusion. Updated regional model guidance and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the final range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 2?
21°C 100%
23°C 100%
25°C 100%
26°C 100%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 2, 2026
17°C or below
6%
18°C
11%
19°C
42%
20°C
92%
21°C
100%
22°C
99%
23°C
100%
24°C
99%
25°C
100%
26°C
100%
27°C or higher
50%
21°C 100%
23°C 100%
25°C 100%
26°C 100%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 2, 2026
17°C or below
$5 KL.
6%
18°C
$5 KL.
11%
19°C
$94 KL.
42%
20°C
$60 KL.
92%
21°C
$0 KL.
100%
22°C
$0 KL.
99%
23°C
$0 KL.
100%
24°C
$0 KL.
99%
25°C
$0 KL.
100%
26°C
$20 KL.
100%
27°C or higher
$5 KL.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature in Wuhan on September 2 most likely between 21–23°C, driven by northeasterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling overnight. Scattered showers or drizzle expected during the period introduce modest uncertainty in the precise low, as timing and intensity of precipitation can alter overnight cooling rates. These conditions align closely with climatological September averages for the region, though recent model runs show a tight cluster around 22°C. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow spread, with higher odds assigned to outcomes above 20°C while discounting substantial drops below 19°C absent a stronger cold-air intrusion. Updated regional model guidance and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the final range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$189Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature in Wuhan on September 2 most likely between 21–23°C, driven by northeasterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling overnight. Scattered showers or drizzle expected during the period introduce modest uncertainty in the precise low, as timing and intensity of precipitation can alter overnight cooling rates. These conditions align closely with climatological September averages for the region, though recent model runs show a tight cluster around 22°C. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow spread, with higher odds assigned to outcomes above 20°C while discounting substantial drops below 19°C absent a stronger cold-air intrusion. Updated regional model guidance and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the final range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$189Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature in Wuhan on September 2 most likely between 21–23°C, driven by northeasterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling overnight. Scattered showers or drizzle expected during the period introduce modest uncertainty in the precise low, as timing and intensity of precipitation can alter overnight cooling rates. These conditions align closely with climatological September averages for the region, though recent model runs show a tight cluster around 22°C. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow spread, with higher odds assigned to outcomes above 20°C while discounting substantial drops below 19°C absent a stronger cold-air intrusion. Updated regional model guidance and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the final range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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