Incumbent Republican Rep. Trent Kelly's entrenched advantage in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District—a solidly Republican seat with an R+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Trump winning 68% there in 2024—anchors trader consensus at 94.5% for the GOP in the November 3 general election. Kelly advanced unopposed in the March 10 Republican primary, while civil rights attorney Cliff Johnson secured the Democratic nomination by defeating Kelvin Buck 66%-34%, but trails significantly in fundraising with $65,000 cash on hand versus Kelly's $827,000 as of late March. Consistent past margins exceeding 68% for Kelly, absent recent polling or catalysts, reflect the district's deep-red reliability. Late-breaking scandals, health issues, or a massive national Democratic wave could theoretically shift odds, though ratings from Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections deem it safe Republican.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMS-01 House Election Winner
MS-01 House Election Winner
$105,411 KL.
$105,411 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$105,411 KL.
$105,411 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$77,078 KL.
95%
Democratic Party
$28,333 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Trent Kelly's entrenched advantage in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District—a solidly Republican seat with an R+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Trump winning 68% there in 2024—anchors trader consensus at 94.5% for the GOP in the November 3 general election. Kelly advanced unopposed in the March 10 Republican primary, while civil rights attorney Cliff Johnson secured the Democratic nomination by defeating Kelvin Buck 66%-34%, but trails significantly in fundraising with $65,000 cash on hand versus Kelly's $827,000 as of late March. Consistent past margins exceeding 68% for Kelly, absent recent polling or catalysts, reflect the district's deep-red reliability. Late-breaking scandals, health issues, or a massive national Democratic wave could theoretically shift odds, though ratings from Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections deem it safe Republican.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$105,411Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Trent Kelly's entrenched advantage in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District—a solidly Republican seat with an R+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Trump winning 68% there in 2024—anchors trader consensus at 94.5% for the GOP in the November 3 general election. Kelly advanced unopposed in the March 10 Republican primary, while civil rights attorney Cliff Johnson secured the Democratic nomination by defeating Kelvin Buck 66%-34%, but trails significantly in fundraising with $65,000 cash on hand versus Kelly's $827,000 as of late March. Consistent past margins exceeding 68% for Kelly, absent recent polling or catalysts, reflect the district's deep-red reliability. Late-breaking scandals, health issues, or a massive national Democratic wave could theoretically shift odds, though ratings from Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections deem it safe Republican.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$105,411Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Trent Kelly's entrenched advantage in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District—a solidly Republican seat with an R+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Trump winning 68% there in 2024—anchors trader consensus at 94.5% for the GOP in the November 3 general election. Kelly advanced unopposed in the March 10 Republican primary, while civil rights attorney Cliff Johnson secured the Democratic nomination by defeating Kelvin Buck 66%-34%, but trails significantly in fundraising with $65,000 cash on hand versus Kelly's $827,000 as of late March. Consistent past margins exceeding 68% for Kelly, absent recent polling or catalysts, reflect the district's deep-red reliability. Late-breaking scandals, health issues, or a massive national Democratic wave could theoretically shift odds, though ratings from Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections deem it safe Republican.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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