Trader consensus in the NJ-12 Democratic primary heavily favors Adam Hamawy at 75% implied probability ahead of the June 2 contest for the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, driven by his recent surge in an internal poll showing 19% support—up from 5% a month prior—following a super PAC's $1 million ad blitz. Hamawy's fundraising milestone of over $1 million, announced this week, alongside endorsements from Bernie Sanders and 314 Action Fund, bolsters his momentum in the splintered 13-candidate field. Verlina Reynolds-Jackson and Susan Altman trail at 9.5% and 8%, reflecting their solid but lower polling shares of 10% and 12%, respectively, amid competing progressive endorsements and strong Q1 hauls, though no clear consolidator has emerged to challenge the leader.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner
NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner
Adam Hamawy 75%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 10%
Susan Altman 8%
Matthew Adams 2.2%
$32,745 KL.
$32,745 KL.
Adam Hamawy
75%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson
10%
Susan Altman
8%
Matthew Adams
2%
Brad Cohen
2%
Kyle Little
1%
Elijah Dixon
1%
Tennille R. McCoy
1%
Raymond Heck
1%
Adrian Mapp
<1%
Michael Anderson
<1%
Adam Hamawy 75%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 10%
Susan Altman 8%
Matthew Adams 2.2%
$32,745 KL.
$32,745 KL.
Adam Hamawy
75%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson
10%
Susan Altman
8%
Matthew Adams
2%
Brad Cohen
2%
Kyle Little
1%
Elijah Dixon
1%
Tennille R. McCoy
1%
Raymond Heck
1%
Adrian Mapp
<1%
Michael Anderson
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the NJ-12 Democratic primary heavily favors Adam Hamawy at 75% implied probability ahead of the June 2 contest for the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, driven by his recent surge in an internal poll showing 19% support—up from 5% a month prior—following a super PAC's $1 million ad blitz. Hamawy's fundraising milestone of over $1 million, announced this week, alongside endorsements from Bernie Sanders and 314 Action Fund, bolsters his momentum in the splintered 13-candidate field. Verlina Reynolds-Jackson and Susan Altman trail at 9.5% and 8%, reflecting their solid but lower polling shares of 10% and 12%, respectively, amid competing progressive endorsements and strong Q1 hauls, though no clear consolidator has emerged to challenge the leader.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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