The NY-13 district's deep Democratic lean, covering Upper Manhattan and Northwest Bronx neighborhoods with consistent strong Democratic performance in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic win at 95.9%. Darializa Avila Chevalier's June 2026 primary victory over longtime incumbent Adriano Espaillat consolidated party support ahead of the November general election, while Republican efforts remain minimal with a canceled or uncontested primary. This positioning aligns with historical margins and the absence of competitive opposition. Scenarios that could shift the outcome remain narrow and would likely require major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal, significant scandal, or extreme turnout anomalies in the heavily Democratic electorate.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-13 House Election Winner
NY-13 House Election Winner
$39,522 KL.
$39,522 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
$39,522 KL.
$39,522 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$27,078 KL.
96%
Republican Party
$12,445 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NY-13 district's deep Democratic lean, covering Upper Manhattan and Northwest Bronx neighborhoods with consistent strong Democratic performance in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic win at 95.9%. Darializa Avila Chevalier's June 2026 primary victory over longtime incumbent Adriano Espaillat consolidated party support ahead of the November general election, while Republican efforts remain minimal with a canceled or uncontested primary. This positioning aligns with historical margins and the absence of competitive opposition. Scenarios that could shift the outcome remain narrow and would likely require major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal, significant scandal, or extreme turnout anomalies in the heavily Democratic electorate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$39,522Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NY-13 district's deep Democratic lean, covering Upper Manhattan and Northwest Bronx neighborhoods with consistent strong Democratic performance in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic win at 95.9%. Darializa Avila Chevalier's June 2026 primary victory over longtime incumbent Adriano Espaillat consolidated party support ahead of the November general election, while Republican efforts remain minimal with a canceled or uncontested primary. This positioning aligns with historical margins and the absence of competitive opposition. Scenarios that could shift the outcome remain narrow and would likely require major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal, significant scandal, or extreme turnout anomalies in the heavily Democratic electorate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$39,522Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The NY-13 district's deep Democratic lean, covering Upper Manhattan and Northwest Bronx neighborhoods with consistent strong Democratic performance in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic win at 95.9%. Darializa Avila Chevalier's June 2026 primary victory over longtime incumbent Adriano Espaillat consolidated party support ahead of the November general election, while Republican efforts remain minimal with a canceled or uncontested primary. This positioning aligns with historical margins and the absence of competitive opposition. Scenarios that could shift the outcome remain narrow and would likely require major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal, significant scandal, or extreme turnout anomalies in the heavily Democratic electorate.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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