Trader consensus prices an 88.5% implied probability that Vladimir Putin remains Russian president through December 31, 2026, anchored in his March 2024 reelection with 87% of the vote and 2020 constitutional amendments resetting term limits to potentially extend rule until 2036. No verifiable health issues, coup attempts, or elite defections have materialized in the past 30 days, despite unconfirmed reports of heightened Kremlin security around Putin amid Ukraine war pressures and economic strains as of early May. Ongoing military actions and diplomatic stalemates reinforce regime stability, with security services and loyalist forces showing no signs of fracture; low-probability shifts would require late-breaking events like a sudden leadership challenge or no-confidence signals from key siloviki.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPutin sẽ trở thành Tổng thống Nga vào ngày 31 tháng 12 năm 2026?
Putin sẽ trở thành Tổng thống Nga vào ngày 31 tháng 12 năm 2026?
Có
$4,270,274 KL.
$4,270,274 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Kiếm 4%
Có
$4,270,274 KL.
$4,270,274 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Kiếm 4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices an 88.5% implied probability that Vladimir Putin remains Russian president through December 31, 2026, anchored in his March 2024 reelection with 87% of the vote and 2020 constitutional amendments resetting term limits to potentially extend rule until 2036. No verifiable health issues, coup attempts, or elite defections have materialized in the past 30 days, despite unconfirmed reports of heightened Kremlin security around Putin amid Ukraine war pressures and economic strains as of early May. Ongoing military actions and diplomatic stalemates reinforce regime stability, with security services and loyalist forces showing no signs of fracture; low-probability shifts would require late-breaking events like a sudden leadership challenge or no-confidence signals from key siloviki.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$4,270,274Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices an 88.5% implied probability that Vladimir Putin remains Russian president through December 31, 2026, anchored in his March 2024 reelection with 87% of the vote and 2020 constitutional amendments resetting term limits to potentially extend rule until 2036. No verifiable health issues, coup attempts, or elite defections have materialized in the past 30 days, despite unconfirmed reports of heightened Kremlin security around Putin amid Ukraine war pressures and economic strains as of early May. Ongoing military actions and diplomatic stalemates reinforce regime stability, with security services and loyalist forces showing no signs of fracture; low-probability shifts would require late-breaking events like a sudden leadership challenge or no-confidence signals from key siloviki.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$4,270,274Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus prices an 88.5% implied probability that Vladimir Putin remains Russian president through December 31, 2026, anchored in his March 2024 reelection with 87% of the vote and 2020 constitutional amendments resetting term limits to potentially extend rule until 2036. No verifiable health issues, coup attempts, or elite defections have materialized in the past 30 days, despite unconfirmed reports of heightened Kremlin security around Putin amid Ukraine war pressures and economic strains as of early May. Ongoing military actions and diplomatic stalemates reinforce regime stability, with security services and loyalist forces showing no signs of fracture; low-probability shifts would require late-breaking events like a sudden leadership challenge or no-confidence signals from key siloviki.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp