Russia's tightly controlled political system under Vladimir Putin continues to limit pathways for organized challenges, with the regime preparing for tightly managed State Duma elections scheduled for September 18-20, 2026. Recent security service reshuffles, including the reported ouster of an FSB economic security official amid factional rivalries, and isolated elite criticisms of war-related economic strains have surfaced, yet these remain contained within loyal circles rather than escalating into coordinated action. Putin has publicly framed external destabilization attempts as the primary threat while reinforcing United Russia dominance and excluding anti-war voices. Traders view the combination of repression, patronage networks, and absence of viable alternatives as sustaining regime continuity through the remainder of 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtRussia coup attempt in 2026?
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
6% khả năng
$131,551 KL.
$131,551 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
6% khả năng
$131,551 KL.
$131,551 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's tightly controlled political system under Vladimir Putin continues to limit pathways for organized challenges, with the regime preparing for tightly managed State Duma elections scheduled for September 18-20, 2026. Recent security service reshuffles, including the reported ouster of an FSB economic security official amid factional rivalries, and isolated elite criticisms of war-related economic strains have surfaced, yet these remain contained within loyal circles rather than escalating into coordinated action. Putin has publicly framed external destabilization attempts as the primary threat while reinforcing United Russia dominance and excluding anti-war voices. Traders view the combination of repression, patronage networks, and absence of viable alternatives as sustaining regime continuity through the remainder of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Khối lượng
$131,551Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's tightly controlled political system under Vladimir Putin continues to limit pathways for organized challenges, with the regime preparing for tightly managed State Duma elections scheduled for September 18-20, 2026. Recent security service reshuffles, including the reported ouster of an FSB economic security official amid factional rivalries, and isolated elite criticisms of war-related economic strains have surfaced, yet these remain contained within loyal circles rather than escalating into coordinated action. Putin has publicly framed external destabilization attempts as the primary threat while reinforcing United Russia dominance and excluding anti-war voices. Traders view the combination of repression, patronage networks, and absence of viable alternatives as sustaining regime continuity through the remainder of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$131,551Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Russia's tightly controlled political system under Vladimir Putin continues to limit pathways for organized challenges, with the regime preparing for tightly managed State Duma elections scheduled for September 18-20, 2026. Recent security service reshuffles, including the reported ouster of an FSB economic security official amid factional rivalries, and isolated elite criticisms of war-related economic strains have surfaced, yet these remain contained within loyal circles rather than escalating into coordinated action. Putin has publicly framed external destabilization attempts as the primary threat while reinforcing United Russia dominance and excluding anti-war voices. Traders view the combination of repression, patronage networks, and absence of viable alternatives as sustaining regime continuity through the remainder of 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp