Russia’s Supreme Court upheld the removal of Yabloko’s federal party list from the September 20, 2026, State Duma ballot on August 17 after rejecting its appeal, following an earlier August 10 ruling prompted by a Rodina party lawsuit over campaign materials and alleged violations. This exclusion prevents the liberal, anti-war party from competing in the proportional representation component where the 5% threshold applies. State-aligned polls had consistently placed Yabloko well below viability, while independent surveys noted modest recent gains in urban areas before the decision. The final court outcome leaves no procedural path for the party list to qualify, anchoring trader consensus on a “No” resolution. Further appeals to the Constitutional Court or supervisory review remain possible but face steep institutional barriers with limited time before the vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtRussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
1% khả năng
$91,308 KL.
$91,308 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
1% khả năng
$91,308 KL.
$91,308 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia’s Supreme Court upheld the removal of Yabloko’s federal party list from the September 20, 2026, State Duma ballot on August 17 after rejecting its appeal, following an earlier August 10 ruling prompted by a Rodina party lawsuit over campaign materials and alleged violations. This exclusion prevents the liberal, anti-war party from competing in the proportional representation component where the 5% threshold applies. State-aligned polls had consistently placed Yabloko well below viability, while independent surveys noted modest recent gains in urban areas before the decision. The final court outcome leaves no procedural path for the party list to qualify, anchoring trader consensus on a “No” resolution. Further appeals to the Constitutional Court or supervisory review remain possible but face steep institutional barriers with limited time before the vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$91,308Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia’s Supreme Court upheld the removal of Yabloko’s federal party list from the September 20, 2026, State Duma ballot on August 17 after rejecting its appeal, following an earlier August 10 ruling prompted by a Rodina party lawsuit over campaign materials and alleged violations. This exclusion prevents the liberal, anti-war party from competing in the proportional representation component where the 5% threshold applies. State-aligned polls had consistently placed Yabloko well below viability, while independent surveys noted modest recent gains in urban areas before the decision. The final court outcome leaves no procedural path for the party list to qualify, anchoring trader consensus on a “No” resolution. Further appeals to the Constitutional Court or supervisory review remain possible but face steep institutional barriers with limited time before the vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Khối lượng
$91,308Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia’s Supreme Court upheld the removal of Yabloko’s federal party list from the September 20, 2026, State Duma ballot on August 17 after rejecting its appeal, following an earlier August 10 ruling prompted by a Rodina party lawsuit over campaign materials and alleged violations. This exclusion prevents the liberal, anti-war party from competing in the proportional representation component where the 5% threshold applies. State-aligned polls had consistently placed Yabloko well below viability, while independent surveys noted modest recent gains in urban areas before the decision. The final court outcome leaves no procedural path for the party list to qualify, anchoring trader consensus on a “No” resolution. Further appeals to the Constitutional Court or supervisory review remain possible but face steep institutional barriers with limited time before the vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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