Recent polling averages have placed President Trump's approval rating in the narrow 38.0–38.4 range on September 11, prompting traders to assign a 97.5% implied probability to that bracket. Steady economic indicators, limited major legislative developments, and the absence of acute foreign policy crises in the preceding weeks have supported this stability. The market consensus reflects aggregated trader assessments of survey methodologies and sampling trends rather than any single poll. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include final data releases incorporating late fieldwork from September 11 or unanticipated events shifting public sentiment within the resolution window, though such factors appear limited given the date's recent passage.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật38.0–38.4 97.5%
38.5–38.9 2.4%
39.0–39.4 2.0%
<37.5 <1%
$9,607 KL.
$9,607 KL.
Sep 11, 2026
<37.5
<1%
37.5–37.9
<1%
38.0–38.4
98%
38.5–38.9
2%
39.0–39.4
2%
39.5+
<1%
38.0–38.4 97.5%
38.5–38.9 2.4%
39.0–39.4 2.0%
<37.5 <1%
$9,607 KL.
$9,607 KL.
Sep 11, 2026
<37.5
$1,031 KL.
<1%
37.5–37.9
$1,516 KL.
<1%
38.0–38.4
$2,973 KL.
98%
38.5–38.9
$2,580 KL.
2%
39.0–39.4
$1,194 KL.
2%
39.5+
$312 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages have placed President Trump's approval rating in the narrow 38.0–38.4 range on September 11, prompting traders to assign a 97.5% implied probability to that bracket. Steady economic indicators, limited major legislative developments, and the absence of acute foreign policy crises in the preceding weeks have supported this stability. The market consensus reflects aggregated trader assessments of survey methodologies and sampling trends rather than any single poll. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include final data releases incorporating late fieldwork from September 11 or unanticipated events shifting public sentiment within the resolution window, though such factors appear limited given the date's recent passage.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Thị trường mở: Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
Khối lượng
$9,607Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages have placed President Trump's approval rating in the narrow 38.0–38.4 range on September 11, prompting traders to assign a 97.5% implied probability to that bracket. Steady economic indicators, limited major legislative developments, and the absence of acute foreign policy crises in the preceding weeks have supported this stability. The market consensus reflects aggregated trader assessments of survey methodologies and sampling trends rather than any single poll. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include final data releases incorporating late fieldwork from September 11 or unanticipated events shifting public sentiment within the resolution window, though such factors appear limited given the date's recent passage.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Khối lượng
$9,607Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages have placed President Trump's approval rating in the narrow 38.0–38.4 range on September 11, prompting traders to assign a 97.5% implied probability to that bracket. Steady economic indicators, limited major legislative developments, and the absence of acute foreign policy crises in the preceding weeks have supported this stability. The market consensus reflects aggregated trader assessments of survey methodologies and sampling trends rather than any single poll. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include final data releases incorporating late fieldwork from September 11 or unanticipated events shifting public sentiment within the resolution window, though such factors appear limited given the date's recent passage.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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