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icon for Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

icon for Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Jun 26

Jun 26

Up

62% khả năng
Polymarket
MỚI

Up

62% khả năng
Polymarket
MỚI
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 26, 2026, than on June 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 19, 2026, than on June 26, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polls show President Trump's approval rating holding near record lows around 36-37 percent amid persistent economic dissatisfaction and mixed reactions to the Iran conflict resolution. Weekly trader balance at even odds reflects competing signals from steady overall numbers in AP-NORC and Reuters/Ipsos surveys alongside new lows on economic handling in Marist and NPR polling, plus modest relief from falling gas prices after the tentative Iran agreement. Factors creating equilibrium include partisan polarization that limits broad shifts, limited movement in independent support, and uncertainty over whether foreign policy stabilization will offset cost-of-living pressures in the short term. Fresh polling releases, economic data releases, or further diplomatic announcements within the resolution window could quickly alter weekly momentum in either direction.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 26, 2026, than on June 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 19, 2026, than on June 26, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Khối lượng
$139
Ngày kết thúc
Jun 26, 2026
Thị trường mở
Jun 21, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 26, 2026, than on June 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 19, 2026, than on June 26, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 26, 2026, than on June 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 19, 2026, than on June 26, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polls show President Trump's approval rating holding near record lows around 36-37 percent amid persistent economic dissatisfaction and mixed reactions to the Iran conflict resolution. Weekly trader balance at even odds reflects competing signals from steady overall numbers in AP-NORC and Reuters/Ipsos surveys alongside new lows on economic handling in Marist and NPR polling, plus modest relief from falling gas prices after the tentative Iran agreement. Factors creating equilibrium include partisan polarization that limits broad shifts, limited movement in independent support, and uncertainty over whether foreign policy stabilization will offset cost-of-living pressures in the short term. Fresh polling releases, economic data releases, or further diplomatic announcements within the resolution window could quickly alter weekly momentum in either direction.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 26, 2026, than on June 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 19, 2026, than on June 26, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Khối lượng
$139
Ngày kết thúc
Jun 26, 2026
Thị trường mở
Jun 21, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 26, 2026, than on June 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 19, 2026, than on June 26, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

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Câu hỏi thường gặp

"Trump approval Up or Down this week?" is a daily prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell shares on whether Trump approval Up or Down this week?'s price will finish higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than its opening price over the daily window specified in the title. The current market probability is 62% for "Up." A price of 62% means the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. Prices update in real-time as traders react to live Trump approval Up or Down this week? price movements. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Trump approval Up or Down this week?" is an active short-term market on Polymarket. Trading volume can accumulate quickly as the daily window progresses — jump in early to help set the odds before this window closes.

To trade on "Trump approval Up or Down this week?," decide whether you believe Trump approval Up or Down this week?'s price at noon ET on June 26 will be higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than Trump approval Up or Down this week?'s price at noon ET on June 21. Buy "Up" if you think the price will rise day-over-day, or "Down" if you think it will fall. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct at resolution, each share pays out $1.00. If incorrect, shares are worth $0.

The current probability for "Trump approval Up or Down this week?" is 62% for "Up," meaning the Polymarket crowd currently assigns a 62% chance that Trump approval Up or Down this week?'s price will finish up over this daily window. These odds update in real-time as traders react to live Trump approval Up or Down this week? price data. Over a full day, odds reflect evolving sentiment as the day's price action unfolds. Check back frequently or trade now before the window closes.

The "Trump approval Up or Down this week?" market resolves based on a comparison of Trump approval Up or Down this week?'s price at noon ET on June 26 versus noon ET on June 21, using Binance TRUMP-APPROVAL/USDT 1-minute candle close prices. If the June 26 noon price is higher, the outcome is "Up"; if lower, "Down"; if equal, the market resolves 50-50. You can review the complete resolution criteria and data source in the "Rules" section on this page.