Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams commands trader consensus at 78% implied probability to win Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, buoyed by his late-March Data for Progress poll lead (36% to Nate Blouin's 23%) and incumbency-like name recognition from flipping a red seat in 2018. Liban Mohamed's April 25 state convention upset via ranked-choice voting elevated his profile among activist delegates and earned party backing, yet signature-qualified candidates proceed to the primary ballot, where broader turnout typically favors McAdams' moderate record over Blouin's progressive state Senate profile and Mohamed's newcomer appeal—splitting anti-establishment votes. Recent debates and a conservative PAC's $611K ad buy backing McAdams underscore ideological tensions, with no post-convention polls yet altering dynamics.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtUT-01 Democratic Primary Winner
UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Ben McAdams 77%
Nate Blouin 16%
Liban Mohamed 9.8%
Erin Mendenhall <1%
$29,880 KL.
$29,880 KL.
Ben McAdams
77%
Nate Blouin
16%
Liban Mohamed
10%
Erin Mendenhall
<1%
Luz Escamilla
<1%
Caroline Gleich
<1%
Brian King
<1%
Kathleen Riebe
<1%
Michael Farrell
<1%
Kael Weston
<1%
Jenny Wilson
<1%
Ben McAdams 77%
Nate Blouin 16%
Liban Mohamed 9.8%
Erin Mendenhall <1%
$29,880 KL.
$29,880 KL.
Ben McAdams
77%
Nate Blouin
16%
Liban Mohamed
10%
Erin Mendenhall
<1%
Luz Escamilla
<1%
Caroline Gleich
<1%
Brian King
<1%
Kathleen Riebe
<1%
Michael Farrell
<1%
Kael Weston
<1%
Jenny Wilson
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams commands trader consensus at 78% implied probability to win Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, buoyed by his late-March Data for Progress poll lead (36% to Nate Blouin's 23%) and incumbency-like name recognition from flipping a red seat in 2018. Liban Mohamed's April 25 state convention upset via ranked-choice voting elevated his profile among activist delegates and earned party backing, yet signature-qualified candidates proceed to the primary ballot, where broader turnout typically favors McAdams' moderate record over Blouin's progressive state Senate profile and Mohamed's newcomer appeal—splitting anti-establishment votes. Recent debates and a conservative PAC's $611K ad buy backing McAdams underscore ideological tensions, with no post-convention polls yet altering dynamics.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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