阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家

Name: 阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家
Start: 2025-10-13T22:42:36.760Z
End: 2026-11-03T00:00:00.000Z

阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家 — 討論

PowerPicker · 2025-10-13T22:42:36.760Z

關於阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家的討論。交易者在 Polymarket 上分享見解和預測。

湯姆·貝吉奇 39%

伯納黛特·威爾遜 25%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 11.2%

特雷格·泰勒 10.2%

$972,641 交易量

2026-11-03

湯姆·貝吉奇

$115,001 交易量

39%

伯納黛特·威爾遜

$151,088 交易量

25%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$7,305 交易量

11%

特雷格·泰勒

$19,709 交易量

10%

Click Bishop

$9,212 交易量

大衛·布朗森

$10,684 交易量

南希·達爾斯特羅姆

$117,091 交易量

馬特·赫伊拉拉

$29,625 交易量

亞當·克拉姆

$39,155 交易量

瑪麗·佩爾托拉

$324,702 交易量

<1%

馬特·克拉曼

$5,573 交易量

<1%

詹姆斯·帕金

$104,135 交易量

<1%

埃德娜·德弗里斯

$8,371 交易量

<1%

雪莉·休斯

$9,044 交易量

<1%

麗莎·穆爾科斯基

$13,874 交易量

<1%

漢克·克羅爾

$3,314 交易量

<1%

布魯斯·沃爾登

$4,756 交易量

<1%

湯姆·貝吉奇 39%

伯納黛特·威爾遜 25%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 11.2%

特雷格·泰勒 10.2%

$972,641 交易量

2026-11-03

湯姆·貝吉奇

$115,001 交易量

39%

伯納黛特·威爾遜

$151,088 交易量

25%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$7,305 交易量

11%

特雷格·泰勒

$19,709 交易量

10%

Click Bishop

$9,212 交易量

大衛·布朗森

$10,684 交易量

南希·達爾斯特羅姆

$117,091 交易量

馬特·赫伊拉拉

$29,625 交易量

亞當·克拉姆

$39,155 交易量

瑪麗·佩爾托拉

$324,702 交易量

<1%

馬特·克拉曼

$5,573 交易量

<1%

詹姆斯·帕金

$104,135 交易量

<1%

埃德娜·德弗里斯

$8,371 交易量

<1%

雪莉·休斯

$9,044 交易量

<1%

麗莎·穆爾科斯基

$13,874 交易量

<1%

漢克·克羅爾

$3,314 交易量

<1%

布魯斯·沃爾登

$4,756 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Recent polling has positioned former state Senator Tom Begich as the frontrunner in Alaska’s open 2026 gubernatorial race, reflecting his early Democratic consolidation ahead of the August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary. A crowded Republican field that includes Lieutenant Governor Nancy Dahlstrom, former Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson, former state Senator Click Bishop, and others has fragmented support, with Bernadette Wilson emerging as the strongest GOP alternative in surveys. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and Treg Taylor trail amid limited name recognition. The state’s ranked-choice voting system and fundraising patterns, including notable self-funding by several Republicans, continue to shape trader assessments of primary advancement and general-election viability in this term-limited contest.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於 2026年5月17日下午10:31 [UTC]

Apr 26 2026

Tom Begich sees surge in market support

Tom Begich jumps to 38%13%

A late-stage rally in market support for Tom Begich pushed his price to 38%, reflecting shifting expectations in the gubernatorial race.

Apr 2 2026

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins enters the race

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins surges to 48%38%

The entry of Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins into the gubernatorial race caused an immediate spike in his market price as voters and analysts assessed his candidacy.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於 2026年5月17日下午10:31 [UTC]

Apr 26 2026

Tom Begich sees surge in market support

Tom Begich jumps to 38%13%

A late-stage rally in market support for Tom Begich pushed his price to 38%, reflecting shifting expectations in the gubernatorial race.

Apr 2 2026

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins enters the race

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins surges to 48%38%

The entry of Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins into the gubernatorial race caused an immediate spike in his market price as voters and analysts assessed his candidacy.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家 " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "湯姆·貝吉奇" at 39%, followed by "伯納黛特·威爾遜" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家 " has generated $972.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家 ," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家 " is "湯姆·貝吉奇" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "伯納黛特·威爾遜" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家 " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家 ." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $972.6K traded on “阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家 ,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家 ," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 39¢ for "湯姆·貝吉奇" in the "阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家 " market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 39% chance that "湯姆·貝吉奇" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 39¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 61¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家 " market is scheduled to resolve on or around Nov 3, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家 " market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家 ." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家

阿拉斯加州州長選舉贏家

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盤口背景

規則

盤口背景

評論 (1)

頂級持倉者

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Frequently Asked Questions

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What does a price of 39¢ for "湯姆·貝吉奇" mean?

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