Recent July inflation data at 2.1% month-over-month, exceeding the 2.0% consensus and rising from June's 1.9%, has shaped trader positioning for August, with the 1.8-2.0% bracket commanding 49.6% implied probability as the consensus outcome. Analysts project moderation to around 1.8% amid persistent disinflation under current monetary policy, though seasonal factors and core price dynamics could sustain readings near the upper end of the 1.5-1.7% range, which holds 28.1% probability. Broader year-over-year figures reached 33.8% in July, with market expectations surveys pointing to further gradual declines toward 29-30% by year-end. The tight clustering of probabilities around 1.5-2.0% reflects aggregated trader sentiment on continued cooling absent major policy shifts ahead of the September release.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於阿根廷每月通脹- 8月
阿根廷每月通脹- 8月
1.8-2.0% 48.8%
1.5-1.7% 27.3%
2.1-2.3% 22.5%
≤1.1% <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
≤1.1%
1%
1.2-1.4%
1%
1.5-1.7%
27%
1.8-2.0%
49%
2.1-2.3%
13%
2.4-2.6%
1%
2.7-2.9%
1%
3.0%+
1%
1.8-2.0% 48.8%
1.5-1.7% 27.3%
2.1-2.3% 22.5%
≤1.1% <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
≤1.1%
$282 交易量
1%
1.2-1.4%
$275 交易量
1%
1.5-1.7%
$2,298 交易量
27%
1.8-2.0%
$2,880 交易量
49%
2.1-2.3%
$687 交易量
13%
2.4-2.6%
$275 交易量
1%
2.7-2.9%
$275 交易量
1%
3.0%+
$275 交易量
1%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent July inflation data at 2.1% month-over-month, exceeding the 2.0% consensus and rising from June's 1.9%, has shaped trader positioning for August, with the 1.8-2.0% bracket commanding 49.6% implied probability as the consensus outcome. Analysts project moderation to around 1.8% amid persistent disinflation under current monetary policy, though seasonal factors and core price dynamics could sustain readings near the upper end of the 1.5-1.7% range, which holds 28.1% probability. Broader year-over-year figures reached 33.8% in July, with market expectations surveys pointing to further gradual declines toward 29-30% by year-end. The tight clustering of probabilities around 1.5-2.0% reflects aggregated trader sentiment on continued cooling absent major policy shifts ahead of the September release.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
交易量
$7,246結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent July inflation data at 2.1% month-over-month, exceeding the 2.0% consensus and rising from June's 1.9%, has shaped trader positioning for August, with the 1.8-2.0% bracket commanding 49.6% implied probability as the consensus outcome. Analysts project moderation to around 1.8% amid persistent disinflation under current monetary policy, though seasonal factors and core price dynamics could sustain readings near the upper end of the 1.5-1.7% range, which holds 28.1% probability. Broader year-over-year figures reached 33.8% in July, with market expectations surveys pointing to further gradual declines toward 29-30% by year-end. The tight clustering of probabilities around 1.5-2.0% reflects aggregated trader sentiment on continued cooling absent major policy shifts ahead of the September release.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$7,246結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July inflation data at 2.1% month-over-month, exceeding the 2.0% consensus and rising from June's 1.9%, has shaped trader positioning for August, with the 1.8-2.0% bracket commanding 49.6% implied probability as the consensus outcome. Analysts project moderation to around 1.8% amid persistent disinflation under current monetary policy, though seasonal factors and core price dynamics could sustain readings near the upper end of the 1.5-1.7% range, which holds 28.1% probability. Broader year-over-year figures reached 33.8% in July, with market expectations surveys pointing to further gradual declines toward 29-30% by year-end. The tight clustering of probabilities around 1.5-2.0% reflects aggregated trader sentiment on continued cooling absent major policy shifts ahead of the September release.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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