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政治·主要

亞利桑那州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

icon for 亞利桑那州州長共和黨初選獲勝者
政治·主要

亞利桑那州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

安迪·比格斯 95%

大衛·施維克特 2.5%

Karrin Taylor Robson <1%

Polymarket

$65,479 交易量

安迪·比格斯 95%

大衛·施維克特 2.5%

Karrin Taylor Robson <1%

Polymarket

$65,479 交易量

安迪·比格斯

$6,454 交易量

95%

大衛·施維克特

$6,207 交易量

3%

Karrin Taylor Robson

$52,818 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Arizona, scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Arizona Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary shows Andy Biggs holding a commanding position, driven by his sustained polling leads and alignment with core conservative priorities. Recent surveys, including a April 2026 NextGen poll and earlier Emerson and Noble results, place Biggs well ahead of David Schweikert and Karrin Taylor Robson among likely primary voters. Key factors include Biggs’s congressional record as a Freedom Caucus member, his January 2025 entry timing, and a co-endorsement from President Trump shared with Robson. Schweikert’s September 2025 entry and subsequent attacks have drawn party criticism without closing the gap. With the July 21 primary two months away, shifts remain possible through late endorsement changes, turnout surges in key counties, or unforeseen developments.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Arizona, scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Arizona Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$65,479
結束日期
2026-07-21
市場開放時間
Dec 4, 2025, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Arizona, scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Arizona Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Arizona, scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Arizona Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary shows Andy Biggs holding a commanding position, driven by his sustained polling leads and alignment with core conservative priorities. Recent surveys, including a April 2026 NextGen poll and earlier Emerson and Noble results, place Biggs well ahead of David Schweikert and Karrin Taylor Robson among likely primary voters. Key factors include Biggs’s congressional record as a Freedom Caucus member, his January 2025 entry timing, and a co-endorsement from President Trump shared with Robson. Schweikert’s September 2025 entry and subsequent attacks have drawn party criticism without closing the gap. With the July 21 primary two months away, shifts remain possible through late endorsement changes, turnout surges in key counties, or unforeseen developments.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Arizona, scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Arizona Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$65,479
結束日期
2026-07-21
市場開放時間
Dec 4, 2025, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Arizona, scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Arizona Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"亞利桑那州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "安迪·比格斯" at 95%, followed by "大衛·施維克特" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "亞利桑那州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $65.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "亞利桑那州州長共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "亞利桑那州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is "安迪·比格斯" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "大衛·施維克特" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "亞利桑那州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.