Recent easing in Russian inflation to 5.58% year-over-year in April 2026, down from 5.86% in March, alongside the Bank of Russia's April 24 decision to cut its key rate by 50 basis points to 14.50%—its eighth consecutive reduction—has positioned a further decrease as the dominant outcome ahead of the June 19 meeting. The central bank's updated guidance, projecting an average key rate of 14.0–14.5% for 2026 and noting sustainable disinflation toward the 4% target, has reinforced trader consensus for additional easing amid cooling price pressures and stable underlying inflation near 4–5% annualized. Persistent pro-inflationary risks from fiscal stimulus and external conditions keep a modest probability on no change, while an increase remains remote given the prevailing monetary policy trajectory.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Decrease 85%
No Change 13%
Increase 2.1%
$50,676 交易量
$50,676 交易量
Decrease
85%
No Change
13%
Increase
2%
Decrease 85%
No Change 13%
Increase 2.1%
$50,676 交易量
$50,676 交易量
Decrease
85%
No Change
13%
Increase
2%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市場開放時間: Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent easing in Russian inflation to 5.58% year-over-year in April 2026, down from 5.86% in March, alongside the Bank of Russia's April 24 decision to cut its key rate by 50 basis points to 14.50%—its eighth consecutive reduction—has positioned a further decrease as the dominant outcome ahead of the June 19 meeting. The central bank's updated guidance, projecting an average key rate of 14.0–14.5% for 2026 and noting sustainable disinflation toward the 4% target, has reinforced trader consensus for additional easing amid cooling price pressures and stable underlying inflation near 4–5% annualized. Persistent pro-inflationary risks from fiscal stimulus and external conditions keep a modest probability on no change, while an increase remains remote given the prevailing monetary policy trajectory.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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