The Bank of Russia’s April 24 decision to cut the key rate by 50 basis points to 14.5 percent—its eighth consecutive reduction—has established a clear easing trajectory that underpins the 85.5 percent implied probability of another decrease at the June 19 meeting. Cooling inflation pressures, with underlying price growth holding in the 4–5 percent annualized range, combined with evidence of moderating domestic demand and a first-quarter economic contraction, have reinforced trader expectations that policymakers will continue the cycle to support supply-side expansion while guiding the 2026 average rate toward the 14.0–14.5 percent baseline forecast. Persistent pro-inflationary risks from fiscal stimulus and external uncertainties sustain the modest 12.5 percent odds of no change, while the negligible 2.1 percent probability of an increase reflects the absence of any immediate overheating signals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Decrease 85%
No Change 13%
Increase 2.1%
$50,676 交易量
$50,676 交易量
2026-06-19
Decrease
85%
No Change
13%
Increase
2%
Decrease 85%
No Change 13%
Increase 2.1%
$50,676 交易量
$50,676 交易量
2026-06-19
Decrease
$20,173 交易量
85%
No Change
$10,324 交易量
13%
Increase
$20,180 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Russia’s April 24 decision to cut the key rate by 50 basis points to 14.5 percent—its eighth consecutive reduction—has established a clear easing trajectory that underpins the 85.5 percent implied probability of another decrease at the June 19 meeting. Cooling inflation pressures, with underlying price growth holding in the 4–5 percent annualized range, combined with evidence of moderating domestic demand and a first-quarter economic contraction, have reinforced trader expectations that policymakers will continue the cycle to support supply-side expansion while guiding the 2026 average rate toward the 14.0–14.5 percent baseline forecast. Persistent pro-inflationary risks from fiscal stimulus and external uncertainties sustain the modest 12.5 percent odds of no change, while the negligible 2.1 percent probability of an increase reflects the absence of any immediate overheating signals.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市場開放時間： Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
交易量
$50,676結束日期
2026-06-19市場開放時間
Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Russia’s April 24 decision to cut the key rate by 50 basis points to 14.5 percent—its eighth consecutive reduction—has established a clear easing trajectory that underpins the 85.5 percent implied probability of another decrease at the June 19 meeting. Cooling inflation pressures, with underlying price growth holding in the 4–5 percent annualized range, combined with evidence of moderating domestic demand and a first-quarter economic contraction, have reinforced trader expectations that policymakers will continue the cycle to support supply-side expansion while guiding the 2026 average rate toward the 14.0–14.5 percent baseline forecast. Persistent pro-inflationary risks from fiscal stimulus and external uncertainties sustain the modest 12.5 percent odds of no change, while the negligible 2.1 percent probability of an increase reflects the absence of any immediate overheating signals.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$50,676結束日期
2026-06-19市場開放時間
Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Russia’s April 24 decision to cut the key rate by 50 basis points to 14.5 percent—its eighth consecutive reduction—has established a clear easing trajectory that underpins the 85.5 percent implied probability of another decrease at the June 19 meeting. Cooling inflation pressures, with underlying price growth holding in the 4–5 percent annualized range, combined with evidence of moderating domestic demand and a first-quarter economic contraction, have reinforced trader expectations that policymakers will continue the cycle to support supply-side expansion while guiding the 2026 average rate toward the 14.0–14.5 percent baseline forecast. Persistent pro-inflationary risks from fiscal stimulus and external uncertainties sustain the modest 12.5 percent odds of no change, while the negligible 2.1 percent probability of an increase reflects the absence of any immediate overheating signals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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