Trader consensus heavily favors Caroline Elliott at 76% implied probability to win the Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership, driven by her lead in the May 4 Pallas Data poll of party members (31%) amid high ballot exhaustion benefiting frontrunners in the preferential voting system, recent high-profile endorsements from figures like Gordon Campbell and Stockwell Day, and superior fundraising enabling broad campaign reach. Kerry-Lynne Findlay holds second at 13.1% as a "true blue" alternative with federal MP experience appealing to ideological voters, while Yuri Fulmer, Iain Black, and Peter Milobar trail amid final debate clashes and voter verification challenges using a U.S. firm. With membership cutoff passed at over 42,000 and results due May 30, late momentum or turnout could narrow the gap in this closely watched race to challenge the NDP government.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於卡羅琳·艾略特 76%
Kerry-Lynne Findlay 13.2%
Yuri Fulmer 6.3%
艾恩·布萊克 4.3%
$170,598 交易量
$170,598 交易量

卡羅琳·艾略特
76%

Kerry-Lynne Findlay
13%

Yuri Fulmer
6%

艾恩·布萊克
4%

彼得·米洛巴
4%

Bruce Banman
<1%

哈曼·班古
<1%

華倫·哈姆
<1%

達雷爾·瓊斯
<1%
卡羅琳·艾略特 76%
Kerry-Lynne Findlay 13.2%
Yuri Fulmer 6.3%
艾恩·布萊克 4.3%
$170,598 交易量
$170,598 交易量

卡羅琳·艾略特
76%

Kerry-Lynne Findlay
13%

Yuri Fulmer
6%

艾恩·布萊克
4%

彼得·米洛巴
4%

Bruce Banman
<1%

哈曼·班古
<1%

華倫·哈姆
<1%

達雷爾·瓊斯
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
市場開放時間: Apr 6, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors Caroline Elliott at 76% implied probability to win the Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership, driven by her lead in the May 4 Pallas Data poll of party members (31%) amid high ballot exhaustion benefiting frontrunners in the preferential voting system, recent high-profile endorsements from figures like Gordon Campbell and Stockwell Day, and superior fundraising enabling broad campaign reach. Kerry-Lynne Findlay holds second at 13.1% as a "true blue" alternative with federal MP experience appealing to ideological voters, while Yuri Fulmer, Iain Black, and Peter Milobar trail amid final debate clashes and voter verification challenges using a U.S. firm. With membership cutoff passed at over 42,000 and results due May 30, late momentum or turnout could narrow the gap in this closely watched race to challenge the NDP government.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions