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icon for 巴西總統選舉第一輪：第三名
世界·巴西

巴西總統選舉第一輪：第三名

icon for 巴西總統選舉第一輪：第三名
世界·巴西

巴西總統選舉第一輪：第三名

羅梅烏·澤馬 32%

雷南·桑托斯 31%

Ronaldo Caiado 19%

米歇爾·波索納羅 5.6%

Polymarket

$282,242 交易量

羅梅烏·澤馬 32%

雷南·桑托斯 31%

Ronaldo Caiado 19%

米歇爾·波索納羅 5.6%

Polymarket

$282,242 交易量

icon for 羅梅烏·澤馬

羅梅烏·澤馬

$10,655 交易量

32%

icon for 雷南·桑托斯

雷南·桑托斯

$63,651 交易量

31%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$16,728 交易量

19%

icon for 米歇爾·波索納羅

米歇爾·波索納羅

$4,817 交易量

6%

icon for 費爾南多·哈達德

費爾南多·哈達德

$14,354 交易量

4%

icon for 弗拉维奥·博索納羅

弗拉维奥·博索納羅

$7,036 交易量

3%

icon for 卡米洛·桑塔納

卡米洛·桑塔納

$6,116 交易量

1%

icon for 賈伊爾·博索納羅

賈伊爾·博索納羅

$4,092 交易量

1%

icon for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$5,286 交易量

1%

icon for 塔西西奧·德·弗雷塔斯

塔西西奧·德·弗雷塔斯

$4,328 交易量

1%

icon for Geraldo Alckmin

Geraldo Alckmin

$4,260 交易量

1%

icon for 特雷莎·克里斯蒂娜

特雷莎·克里斯蒂娜

$654 交易量

1%

icon for 愛杜亞多·萊特

愛杜亞多·萊特

$2,559 交易量

1%

icon for 愛德華多·博索納羅

愛德華多·博索納羅

$39,622 交易量

<1%

icon for 阿爾多·雷貝洛

阿爾多·雷貝洛

$4,536 交易量

<1%

icon for 哈蒂紐·儒尼奧爾

哈蒂紐·儒尼奧爾

$93,195 交易量

<1%

icon for 埃爾德·巴爾巴略

埃爾德·巴爾巴略

$354 交易量

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling shows a fragmented field behind President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, leaving Romeu Zema and Renan Santos in a tight contest for third place in the October 4 first-round vote. Zema draws support from his Novo party base in Minas Gerais and business-oriented voters, while Santos benefits from his Free Brazil Movement roots and strong youth engagement on social media. Ronaldo Caiado’s March selection as the PSD nominee has consolidated some center-right backing in Goiás and beyond, yet the right-wing vote remains split across multiple candidates. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with separation likely to come from endorsements by state governors, economic data releases, or shifts in approval ratings ahead of the October ballot.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$282,242
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling shows a fragmented field behind President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, leaving Romeu Zema and Renan Santos in a tight contest for third place in the October 4 first-round vote. Zema draws support from his Novo party base in Minas Gerais and business-oriented voters, while Santos benefits from his Free Brazil Movement roots and strong youth engagement on social media. Ronaldo Caiado’s March selection as the PSD nominee has consolidated some center-right backing in Goiás and beyond, yet the right-wing vote remains split across multiple candidates. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with separation likely to come from endorsements by state governors, economic data releases, or shifts in approval ratings ahead of the October ballot.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$282,242
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"巴西總統選舉第一輪：第三名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "羅梅烏·澤馬" at 32%, followed by "雷南·桑托斯" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 32¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "巴西總統選舉第一輪：第三名" has generated $282.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "巴西總統選舉第一輪：第三名," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "巴西總統選舉第一輪：第三名" is "羅梅烏·澤馬" at 32%, meaning the market assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "雷南·桑托斯" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "巴西總統選舉第一輪：第三名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.