California's 17th congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the House, anchored by heavy Democratic voter registration advantages, consistent performance in recent cycles, and incumbent Ro Khanna's strong name recognition across Silicon Valley communities. Traders have priced Democratic victory near 97 percent because the district's partisan voting index and historical margins leave minimal room for Republican inroads absent an extraordinary national shift. The June 2026 top-two primary features several Democratic challengers, yet Khanna's institutional support and fundraising edge have kept the general-election outlook stable. Only a late scandal, health issue, or abrupt withdrawal by the incumbent could realistically open a narrower path for a Republican nominee to reach November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主黨
97%
共和黨
2%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主黨
$7,587 交易量
97%
共和黨
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 17th congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the House, anchored by heavy Democratic voter registration advantages, consistent performance in recent cycles, and incumbent Ro Khanna's strong name recognition across Silicon Valley communities. Traders have priced Democratic victory near 97 percent because the district's partisan voting index and historical margins leave minimal room for Republican inroads absent an extraordinary national shift. The June 2026 top-two primary features several Democratic challengers, yet Khanna's institutional support and fundraising edge have kept the general-election outlook stable. Only a late scandal, health issue, or abrupt withdrawal by the incumbent could realistically open a narrower path for a Republican nominee to reach November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 6, 2026, 10:16 AM ET
交易量
$7,587結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 10:16 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 17th congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the House, anchored by heavy Democratic voter registration advantages, consistent performance in recent cycles, and incumbent Ro Khanna's strong name recognition across Silicon Valley communities. Traders have priced Democratic victory near 97 percent because the district's partisan voting index and historical margins leave minimal room for Republican inroads absent an extraordinary national shift. The June 2026 top-two primary features several Democratic challengers, yet Khanna's institutional support and fundraising edge have kept the general-election outlook stable. Only a late scandal, health issue, or abrupt withdrawal by the incumbent could realistically open a narrower path for a Republican nominee to reach November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$7,587結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 10:16 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 17th congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the House, anchored by heavy Democratic voter registration advantages, consistent performance in recent cycles, and incumbent Ro Khanna's strong name recognition across Silicon Valley communities. Traders have priced Democratic victory near 97 percent because the district's partisan voting index and historical margins leave minimal room for Republican inroads absent an extraordinary national shift. The June 2026 top-two primary features several Democratic challengers, yet Khanna's institutional support and fundraising edge have kept the general-election outlook stable. Only a late scandal, health issue, or abrupt withdrawal by the incumbent could realistically open a narrower path for a Republican nominee to reach November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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