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政治·全球選舉

哥倫比亞總統選舉

icon for 哥倫比亞總統選舉
政治·全球選舉

哥倫比亞總統選舉

阿貝拉多·德拉·埃斯普里耶拉 44%

伊萬·塞佩達·卡斯特羅 42%

帕洛瑪·瓦倫西亞 12.3%

Luis Gilberto Murillo（CRB） <1%

Polymarket

$29,283,211 交易量

阿貝拉多·德拉·埃斯普里耶拉 44%

伊萬·塞佩達·卡斯特羅 42%

帕洛瑪·瓦倫西亞 12.3%

Luis Gilberto Murillo（CRB） <1%

Polymarket

$29,283,211 交易量

icon for 阿貝拉多·德拉·埃斯普里耶拉

阿貝拉多·德拉·埃斯普里耶拉

$1,164,062 交易量

44%

icon for 伊萬·塞佩達·卡斯特羅

伊萬·塞佩達·卡斯特羅

$1,016,741 交易量

42%

icon for 帕洛瑪·瓦倫西亞

帕洛瑪·瓦倫西亞

$1,222,396 交易量

12%

icon for Luis Gilberto Murillo（CRB）

Luis Gilberto Murillo（CRB）

$1,795,024 交易量

<1%

icon for 塞爾吉奧·法哈多（民主中心）

塞爾吉奧·法哈多（民主中心）

$1,749,707 交易量

<1%

icon for 羅伊·巴雷拉斯

羅伊·巴雷拉斯

$1,151,751 交易量

<1%

icon for 卡洛斯·費利佩·科爾多瓦

卡洛斯·費利佩·科爾多瓦

$628,943 交易量

<1%

icon for 維姬·達維拉（無黨籍）

維姬·達維拉（無黨籍）

$2,857,367 交易量

<1%

icon for Claudia López（無黨籍）

Claudia López（無黨籍）

$1,158,914 交易量

<1%

icon for 大衛·盧納·桑切斯（無黨籍）

大衛·盧納·桑切斯（無黨籍）

$1,819,055 交易量

<1%

icon for 胡安·丹尼爾·奧維耶多（無黨籍）

胡安·丹尼爾·奧維耶多（無黨籍）

$1,518,487 交易量

<1%

icon for Gustavo Bolívar（HC）

Gustavo Bolívar（HC）

$5,762,070 交易量

<1%

icon for 胡安·曼努埃爾·加蘭（NL）

胡安·曼努埃爾·加蘭（NL）

$708,114 交易量

<1%

icon for 赫爾曼·巴爾加斯·耶拉斯（RC）

赫爾曼·巴爾加斯·耶拉斯（RC）

$1,782,319 交易量

<1%

icon for 毛里西奧·卡爾德納斯

毛里西奧·卡爾德納斯

$2,493,805 交易量

<1%

icon for 丹尼爾·昆特羅

丹尼爾·昆特羅

$694,239 交易量

<1%

icon for 恩里克·佩尼亞洛薩

恩里克·佩尼亞洛薩

$1,305,568 交易量

<1%

icon for 胡安·卡洛斯·平松

胡安·卡洛斯·平松

$430,214 交易量

<1%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Colombia's presidential race remains tightly contested ahead of the May 31 first-round vote, with trader pricing reflecting a competitive field between leading left and right contenders. Iván Cepeda, the Historic Pact candidate positioned as the continuity choice for current policies, benefits from consolidated regional and youth support, yet faces headwinds from voter concerns over security and armed-group influence in key areas. Abelardo de la Espriella has gained traction as an outsider emphasizing military measures and economic reforms, drawing from far-right bases, while Paloma Valencia consolidates center-right votes amid the collapse of traditional centrist options like Sergio Fajardo and Claudia López. Recent final-campaign pushes, including vice-presidential selections and regional mobilization efforts, have kept probabilities balanced, with any late shifts in undecided voters or turnout in battleground departments likely to determine advancement to a potential June runoff.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
交易量
$29,283,211
結束日期
2026-06-21
市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2025, 1:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Colombia's presidential race remains tightly contested ahead of the May 31 first-round vote, with trader pricing reflecting a competitive field between leading left and right contenders. Iván Cepeda, the Historic Pact candidate positioned as the continuity choice for current policies, benefits from consolidated regional and youth support, yet faces headwinds from voter concerns over security and armed-group influence in key areas. Abelardo de la Espriella has gained traction as an outsider emphasizing military measures and economic reforms, drawing from far-right bases, while Paloma Valencia consolidates center-right votes amid the collapse of traditional centrist options like Sergio Fajardo and Claudia López. Recent final-campaign pushes, including vice-presidential selections and regional mobilization efforts, have kept probabilities balanced, with any late shifts in undecided voters or turnout in battleground departments likely to determine advancement to a potential June runoff.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
交易量
$29,283,211
結束日期
2026-06-21
市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2025, 1:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"哥倫比亞總統選舉" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 19 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "阿貝拉多·德拉·埃斯普里耶拉" at 44%, followed by "伊萬·塞佩達·卡斯特羅" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "哥倫比亞總統選舉" has generated $29.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "哥倫比亞總統選舉," browse the 19 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "哥倫比亞總統選舉" is "阿貝拉多·德拉·埃斯普里耶拉" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "伊萬·塞佩達·卡斯特羅" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "哥倫比亞總統選舉" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.