Incumbent Sen. Chris Coons (D) dominates trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability for the Delaware Senate race, reflecting the state's entrenched Democratic trifecta, D+8 Cook PVI, and Harris's 57% presidential win in 2024. Coons, seeking a fourth term after his 2020 victory with 59%, holds a massive fundraising edge with over $4 million cash on hand as of Q1 2026 filings, dwarfing Republican primary contenders Michael Katz and John Shulli. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Democratic, with no polls showing competitiveness amid absent recent catalysts. Primaries on September 15 could test Coons against a minor challenger, while a Republican upset would require a national wave, scandal, or nominee consolidation—scenarios traders price at just 6%.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$11,557 交易量
$11,557 交易量

民主黨
93%

共和黨
7%
$11,557 交易量
$11,557 交易量

民主黨
93%

共和黨
7%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Chris Coons (D) dominates trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability for the Delaware Senate race, reflecting the state's entrenched Democratic trifecta, D+8 Cook PVI, and Harris's 57% presidential win in 2024. Coons, seeking a fourth term after his 2020 victory with 59%, holds a massive fundraising edge with over $4 million cash on hand as of Q1 2026 filings, dwarfing Republican primary contenders Michael Katz and John Shulli. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Democratic, with no polls showing competitiveness amid absent recent catalysts. Primaries on September 15 could test Coons against a minor challenger, while a Republican upset would require a national wave, scandal, or nominee consolidation—scenarios traders price at just 6%.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions