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icon for 唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年8月21日至28日?

唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年8月21日至28日?

icon for 唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年8月21日至28日?

唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年8月21日至28日?

200+ 63%

160-179 17%

180-199 14%

120-139 5%

Polymarket
最新

200+ 63%

160-179 17%

180-199 14%

120-139 5%

Polymarket
最新

<20

$467 交易量

<1%

20-39

$448 交易量

<1%

40-59

$586 交易量

<1%

60-79

$306 交易量

<1%

80-99

$486 交易量

<1%

100-119

$847 交易量

2%

120-139

$1,571 交易量

5%

140-159

$1,136 交易量

2%

160-179

$1,212 交易量

17%

180-199

$1,386 交易量

14%

200+

$1,206 交易量

63%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump’s Truth Social output has averaged roughly 19–22 posts per day through 2026, with spikes above 25 daily during periods of active legislation, tariff announcements, and foreign-policy developments. The August 21–28 window coincides with ongoing measures targeting Iran, fresh tariff actions, FDA nominations, and SCOTUS-related statements that have historically triggered clusters of original posts, reposts, and late-night activity. Recent examples from the period already include rally promotions, hostage updates, and policy messaging. Traders therefore assign the highest probability to the 200+ range, viewing sustained catalysts as likely to push the weekly total above the long-term average pace.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$9,652
結束日期
2026-08-28
市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump’s Truth Social output has averaged roughly 19–22 posts per day through 2026, with spikes above 25 daily during periods of active legislation, tariff announcements, and foreign-policy developments. The August 21–28 window coincides with ongoing measures targeting Iran, fresh tariff actions, FDA nominations, and SCOTUS-related statements that have historically triggered clusters of original posts, reposts, and late-night activity. Recent examples from the period already include rally promotions, hostage updates, and policy messaging. Traders therefore assign the highest probability to the 200+ range, viewing sustained catalysts as likely to push the weekly total above the long-term average pace.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$9,652
結束日期
2026-08-28
市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年8月21日至28日?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "200+" at 63%, followed by "160-179" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年8月21日至28日?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年8月21日至28日?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年8月21日至28日?" is "200+" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "160-179" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年8月21日至28日?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.