Republican Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in the 2026 Florida special Senate election to complete Marco Rubio’s term, as traders price her party’s victory at 79.5 percent. Florida’s longstanding Republican tilt, Moody’s incumbency following her appointment by Governor Ron DeSantis, and consistent polling leads of seven to eight points over leading Democratic challengers such as Alexander Vindman and Angie Nixon underpin this consensus. Recent surveys through mid-May show Moody maintaining comfortable margins despite Democratic fundraising efforts and a crowded primary field. The August 18 primaries and November 3 general election remain the key upcoming catalysts that could refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$37,324 交易量
$37,324 交易量

共和黨
80%

民主黨
17%
$37,324 交易量
$37,324 交易量

共和黨
80%

民主黨
17%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in the 2026 Florida special Senate election to complete Marco Rubio’s term, as traders price her party’s victory at 79.5 percent. Florida’s longstanding Republican tilt, Moody’s incumbency following her appointment by Governor Ron DeSantis, and consistent polling leads of seven to eight points over leading Democratic challengers such as Alexander Vindman and Angie Nixon underpin this consensus. Recent surveys through mid-May show Moody maintaining comfortable margins despite Democratic fundraising efforts and a crowded primary field. The August 18 primaries and November 3 general election remain the key upcoming catalysts that could refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions