**Trader consensus on a 19°C daily maximum for Amsterdam on September 16 reflects alignment between official forecasts, real-time observations, and the long-term climatological average high of 19.2°C.** Current model runs from sources like the Met Office and European centers indicate a peak near this value amid partly cloudy skies, light winds, and scattered showers, with hourly data showing afternoon readings climbing to but not exceeding 19°C. This matches historical patterns for mid-September, where temperatures typically range from 13–24°C. The near-certain market odds stem from skin-in-the-game aggregation of converging data rather than any single model. A realistic shift could occur only with an unexpected late-day warming surge or revised station measurements, though both remain low-probability given stable steering patterns and the day's advanced stage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
9月16日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
19°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$48,164 交易量
$48,164 交易量
2026-09-16
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
是
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或更高
否
19°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$48,164 交易量
$48,164 交易量
2026-09-16
13°C或以下
$441 交易量
否
14°C
$547 交易量
否
15°C
$334 交易量
否
16°C
$958 交易量
否
17°C
$4,541 交易量
否
18°C
$9,664 交易量
否
19°C
$12,096 交易量
是
20°C
$12,278 交易量
否
21°C
$5,330 交易量
否
22°C
$1,064 交易量
否
23°C或更高
$912 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 19°C daily maximum for Amsterdam on September 16 reflects alignment between official forecasts, real-time observations, and the long-term climatological average high of 19.2°C.** Current model runs from sources like the Met Office and European centers indicate a peak near this value amid partly cloudy skies, light winds, and scattered showers, with hourly data showing afternoon readings climbing to but not exceeding 19°C. This matches historical patterns for mid-September, where temperatures typically range from 13–24°C. The near-certain market odds stem from skin-in-the-game aggregation of converging data rather than any single model. A realistic shift could occur only with an unexpected late-day warming surge or revised station measurements, though both remain low-probability given stable steering patterns and the day's advanced stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$48,164結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 19°C daily maximum for Amsterdam on September 16 reflects alignment between official forecasts, real-time observations, and the long-term climatological average high of 19.2°C.** Current model runs from sources like the Met Office and European centers indicate a peak near this value amid partly cloudy skies, light winds, and scattered showers, with hourly data showing afternoon readings climbing to but not exceeding 19°C. This matches historical patterns for mid-September, where temperatures typically range from 13–24°C. The near-certain market odds stem from skin-in-the-game aggregation of converging data rather than any single model. A realistic shift could occur only with an unexpected late-day warming surge or revised station measurements, though both remain low-probability given stable steering patterns and the day's advanced stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$48,164結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus on a 19°C daily maximum for Amsterdam on September 16 reflects alignment between official forecasts, real-time observations, and the long-term climatological average high of 19.2°C.** Current model runs from sources like the Met Office and European centers indicate a peak near this value amid partly cloudy skies, light winds, and scattered showers, with hourly data showing afternoon readings climbing to but not exceeding 19°C. This matches historical patterns for mid-September, where temperatures typically range from 13–24°C. The near-certain market odds stem from skin-in-the-game aggregation of converging data rather than any single model. A realistic shift could occur only with an unexpected late-day warming surge or revised station measurements, though both remain low-probability given stable steering patterns and the day's advanced stage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions