Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to a maximum near 15–16°C in Buenos Aires on August 2, driven by typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions with mild onshore flow, increasing cloud cover, and light precipitation that limits daytime warming. Climatological baselines show August highs averaging 15–17°C, with model consensus favoring values in this range amid stable high pressure and minimal cold air advection. Traders assign the highest implied probability (43%) to 16°C, reflecting these near-term data while accounting for forecast uncertainty in exact peak timing and local microclimate effects. Upcoming NHC-equivalent regional updates or refined model runs could shift sentiment if conditions trend warmer or cooler than expected.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
16°C 42%
15°C 22%
17°C 21%
18°C 8%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
6%
15°C
22%
16°C
42%
17°C
21%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
1%
16°C 42%
15°C 22%
17°C 21%
18°C 8%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
6%
15°C
22%
16°C
42%
17°C
21%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to a maximum near 15–16°C in Buenos Aires on August 2, driven by typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions with mild onshore flow, increasing cloud cover, and light precipitation that limits daytime warming. Climatological baselines show August highs averaging 15–17°C, with model consensus favoring values in this range amid stable high pressure and minimal cold air advection. Traders assign the highest implied probability (43%) to 16°C, reflecting these near-term data while accounting for forecast uncertainty in exact peak timing and local microclimate effects. Upcoming NHC-equivalent regional updates or refined model runs could shift sentiment if conditions trend warmer or cooler than expected.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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