Chongqing's July 5 maximum temperature market reflects high uncertainty around mid-30s °C readings, driven by short-term forecast models showing daytime highs of 32–36 °C amid the city's typical subtropical monsoon conditions and basin topography that traps heat and humidity. Official guidance from sources like AccuWeather and the Met Office indicates a warming trend through early July, with recent days already reaching 33–35 °C, though variable cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and steering influences from the Western Pacific Subtropical High could cap or elevate peaks. The spread across 32–34 °C outcomes captures model disagreements on precipitation timing and intensity, while lower-probability extremes hinge on rare heatwave amplification or atypical cooling outflows. Traders weigh these variables against July climatology averaging 33 °C highs as new model runs arrive.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 5?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 5?
34°C 42%
33°C 22%
35°C 16%
32°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-07-05
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
7%
33°C
22%
34°C
42%
35°C
16%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 42%
33°C 22%
35°C 16%
32°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-07-05
29°C or below
$1,231 交易量
<1%
30°C
$340 交易量
1%
31°C
$893 交易量
2%
32°C
$1,166 交易量
7%
33°C
$586 交易量
22%
34°C
$864 交易量
42%
35°C
$237 交易量
16%
36°C
$513 交易量
4%
37°C
$512 交易量
1%
38°C
$339 交易量
<1%
39°C or higher
$28 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Chongqing's July 5 maximum temperature market reflects high uncertainty around mid-30s °C readings, driven by short-term forecast models showing daytime highs of 32–36 °C amid the city's typical subtropical monsoon conditions and basin topography that traps heat and humidity. Official guidance from sources like AccuWeather and the Met Office indicates a warming trend through early July, with recent days already reaching 33–35 °C, though variable cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and steering influences from the Western Pacific Subtropical High could cap or elevate peaks. The spread across 32–34 °C outcomes captures model disagreements on precipitation timing and intensity, while lower-probability extremes hinge on rare heatwave amplification or atypical cooling outflows. Traders weigh these variables against July climatology averaging 33 °C highs as new model runs arrive.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$6,710結束日期
2026-07-05市場開放時間
Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Chongqing's July 5 maximum temperature market reflects high uncertainty around mid-30s °C readings, driven by short-term forecast models showing daytime highs of 32–36 °C amid the city's typical subtropical monsoon conditions and basin topography that traps heat and humidity. Official guidance from sources like AccuWeather and the Met Office indicates a warming trend through early July, with recent days already reaching 33–35 °C, though variable cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and steering influences from the Western Pacific Subtropical High could cap or elevate peaks. The spread across 32–34 °C outcomes captures model disagreements on precipitation timing and intensity, while lower-probability extremes hinge on rare heatwave amplification or atypical cooling outflows. Traders weigh these variables against July climatology averaging 33 °C highs as new model runs arrive.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,710結束日期
2026-07-05市場開放時間
Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ETChongqing's July 5 maximum temperature market reflects high uncertainty around mid-30s °C readings, driven by short-term forecast models showing daytime highs of 32–36 °C amid the city's typical subtropical monsoon conditions and basin topography that traps heat and humidity. Official guidance from sources like AccuWeather and the Met Office indicates a warming trend through early July, with recent days already reaching 33–35 °C, though variable cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and steering influences from the Western Pacific Subtropical High could cap or elevate peaks. The spread across 32–34 °C outcomes captures model disagreements on precipitation timing and intensity, while lower-probability extremes hinge on rare heatwave amplification or atypical cooling outflows. Traders weigh these variables against July climatology averaging 33 °C highs as new model runs arrive.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions