Latest National Weather Service forecasts for the Dallas-Fort Worth area point to a sunny, hot day on August 1 with a high near 98–103 °F, driving the market’s heaviest weighting toward the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins. Persistent high pressure, southerly flow, and elevated dew points supporting heat indices above 105 °F have kept recent model runs in this range, while historical climatology places the August 1 normal high at 96 °F. Traders are pricing in modest uncertainty from possible afternoon cloud build-up, subtle wind shifts, or small model adjustments that could nudge the official maximum a degree or two in either direction. Longer-range guidance for early August also signals continued above-average warmth across North Texas, limiting downside risk below 96 °F while capping extreme outliers above 104 °F absent an unexpected ridge amplification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月1日達拉斯的最高溫度?
98-99°F 46%
96-97°F 28%
100-101°F 17%
102-103°F 7%
91°F or below
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
28%
98-99°F
46%
100-101°F
17%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 46%
96-97°F 28%
100-101°F 17%
102-103°F 7%
91°F or below
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
28%
98-99°F
46%
100-101°F
17%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest National Weather Service forecasts for the Dallas-Fort Worth area point to a sunny, hot day on August 1 with a high near 98–103 °F, driving the market’s heaviest weighting toward the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins. Persistent high pressure, southerly flow, and elevated dew points supporting heat indices above 105 °F have kept recent model runs in this range, while historical climatology places the August 1 normal high at 96 °F. Traders are pricing in modest uncertainty from possible afternoon cloud build-up, subtle wind shifts, or small model adjustments that could nudge the official maximum a degree or two in either direction. Longer-range guidance for early August also signals continued above-average warmth across North Texas, limiting downside risk below 96 °F while capping extreme outliers above 104 °F absent an unexpected ridge amplification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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