Traders see near-even odds between 96–97°F and 98–99°F for Dallas’s July 24 high because short-range models show a persistent upper-level ridge maintaining hot, dry conditions with southerly flow. Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs cluster maximum temperatures around 97–100°F, consistent with the month’s climatological average near 103°F yet tempered by slightly lower dew points. Key variables differentiating the leading bins include afternoon mixing depth and any subtle cloud cover or wind shifts that could shave 1–2°F off peak readings. With the market resolving on official observations, traders weigh the latest model consensus against historical analogs for late-July heat under similar synoptic patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月24日達拉斯的最高溫度？
7月24日達拉斯的最高溫度？
96-97°F 40%
98-99°F 33%
94-95°F 18%
100-101°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-07-24
91°F or below
2%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
18%
96-97°F
40%
98-99°F
33%
100-101°F
7%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 40%
98-99°F 33%
94-95°F 18%
100-101°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-07-24
91°F or below
$26 交易量
2%
92-93°F
$22 交易量
3%
94-95°F
$384 交易量
18%
96-97°F
$178 交易量
40%
98-99°F
$47 交易量
33%
100-101°F
$29 交易量
7%
102-103°F
$50 交易量
1%
104-105°F
$49 交易量
<1%
106-107°F
$162 交易量
<1%
108-109°F
$535 交易量
<1%
110°F or higher
$274 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see near-even odds between 96–97°F and 98–99°F for Dallas’s July 24 high because short-range models show a persistent upper-level ridge maintaining hot, dry conditions with southerly flow. Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs cluster maximum temperatures around 97–100°F, consistent with the month’s climatological average near 103°F yet tempered by slightly lower dew points. Key variables differentiating the leading bins include afternoon mixing depth and any subtle cloud cover or wind shifts that could shave 1–2°F off peak readings. With the market resolving on official observations, traders weigh the latest model consensus against historical analogs for late-July heat under similar synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 22, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$1,631結束日期
2026-07-24市場開放時間
Jul 22, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see near-even odds between 96–97°F and 98–99°F for Dallas’s July 24 high because short-range models show a persistent upper-level ridge maintaining hot, dry conditions with southerly flow. Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs cluster maximum temperatures around 97–100°F, consistent with the month’s climatological average near 103°F yet tempered by slightly lower dew points. Key variables differentiating the leading bins include afternoon mixing depth and any subtle cloud cover or wind shifts that could shave 1–2°F off peak readings. With the market resolving on official observations, traders weigh the latest model consensus against historical analogs for late-July heat under similar synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,631結束日期
2026-07-24市場開放時間
Jul 22, 2026, 9:02 PM ETTraders see near-even odds between 96–97°F and 98–99°F for Dallas’s July 24 high because short-range models show a persistent upper-level ridge maintaining hot, dry conditions with southerly flow. Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs cluster maximum temperatures around 97–100°F, consistent with the month’s climatological average near 103°F yet tempered by slightly lower dew points. Key variables differentiating the leading bins include afternoon mixing depth and any subtle cloud cover or wind shifts that could shave 1–2°F off peak readings. With the market resolving on official observations, traders weigh the latest model consensus against historical analogs for late-July heat under similar synoptic patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions