Latest official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting model guidance point to a daily maximum near 21°C in Toronto on July 22, supported by a moderating maritime air mass and increasing cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Ensemble runs show modest spread around 20–22°C, reflecting uncertainty in the exact timing of any weak frontal boundary and boundary-layer mixing. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering on those three outcomes and stands below early-July heat anomalies observed across Ontario. Traders will watch the next model cycle and afternoon sounding data for any shifts in dew-point or wind forecasts that could nudge the high by a degree or two before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月22日多倫多氣溫最高?
21°C 39%
22°C 27%
20°C 19%
19°C 9%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
9%
20°C
19%
21°C
39%
22°C
27%
23°C
9%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 39%
22°C 27%
20°C 19%
19°C 9%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
9%
20°C
19%
21°C
39%
22°C
27%
23°C
9%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 20, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting model guidance point to a daily maximum near 21°C in Toronto on July 22, supported by a moderating maritime air mass and increasing cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Ensemble runs show modest spread around 20–22°C, reflecting uncertainty in the exact timing of any weak frontal boundary and boundary-layer mixing. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering on those three outcomes and stands below early-July heat anomalies observed across Ontario. Traders will watch the next model cycle and afternoon sounding data for any shifts in dew-point or wind forecasts that could nudge the high by a degree or two before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions