Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high near 100°F in Denver on August 2 amid an expanding heat wave across the Intermountain West, with sunny skies and light southwest winds supporting daytime heating. This aligns with early-August climatology while exceeding the ~90°F normal, though ensemble spreads and minor variations in boundary-layer moisture or cloud cover could shift the peak by 1–2°F. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins because official guidance centers near the lower end of that range, with upside risk tied to stronger downslope warming or delayed cloud development. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs will refine the exact maximum before the market resolves.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日丹佛的最高溫度？
8月2日丹佛的最高溫度？
100-101°F 42%
102-103°F 38%
98-99°F 16%
96-97°F 5%
最新
$10,047 交易量
最新
$10,047 交易量
2026-08-02
91°F或以下
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
42%
102-103°F
38%
華氏104-105度
3%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
華氏110度或更高
<1%
100-101°F 42%
102-103°F 38%
98-99°F 16%
96-97°F 5%
最新
$10,047 交易量
最新
$10,047 交易量
2026-08-02
91°F或以下
$771 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$523 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$621 交易量
1%
96-97°F
$640 交易量
5%
98-99°F
$1,769 交易量
16%
100-101°F
$837 交易量
42%
102-103°F
$2,802 交易量
38%
華氏104-105度
$629 交易量
3%
106-107°F
$561 交易量
<1%
108-109°F
$440 交易量
<1%
華氏110度或更高
$454 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high near 100°F in Denver on August 2 amid an expanding heat wave across the Intermountain West, with sunny skies and light southwest winds supporting daytime heating. This aligns with early-August climatology while exceeding the ~90°F normal, though ensemble spreads and minor variations in boundary-layer moisture or cloud cover could shift the peak by 1–2°F. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins because official guidance centers near the lower end of that range, with upside risk tied to stronger downslope warming or delayed cloud development. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs will refine the exact maximum before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$10,047結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high near 100°F in Denver on August 2 amid an expanding heat wave across the Intermountain West, with sunny skies and light southwest winds supporting daytime heating. This aligns with early-August climatology while exceeding the ~90°F normal, though ensemble spreads and minor variations in boundary-layer moisture or cloud cover could shift the peak by 1–2°F. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins because official guidance centers near the lower end of that range, with upside risk tied to stronger downslope warming or delayed cloud development. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs will refine the exact maximum before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,047結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high near 100°F in Denver on August 2 amid an expanding heat wave across the Intermountain West, with sunny skies and light southwest winds supporting daytime heating. This aligns with early-August climatology while exceeding the ~90°F normal, though ensemble spreads and minor variations in boundary-layer moisture or cloud cover could shift the peak by 1–2°F. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins because official guidance centers near the lower end of that range, with upside risk tied to stronger downslope warming or delayed cloud development. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs will refine the exact maximum before the market resolves.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions