Persistent cloud cover and showers expected over Hong Kong on August 3 are the main factors keeping the highest temperature centered on 28–29 °C in trader assessments. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models indicates a moist southwesterly flow bringing widespread rain and limited insolation, which suppresses daytime heating relative to the August climatological mean of 31–32 °C. Recent seasonal outlooks note normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-range forecasts highlight this transient wet pattern that favors values near the lower end of the typical range. Key variables still in play include the exact timing of any breaks in cloud and localized thunderstorm intensity, with updated model runs and Observatory briefings expected to refine the maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日香港最高溫度?
28°C 35%
29°C 29%
27°C 20%
30°C 8%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
20%
28°C
35%
29°C
29%
30°C
8%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
3%
28°C 35%
29°C 29%
27°C 20%
30°C 8%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
20%
28°C
35%
29°C
29%
30°C
8%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and showers expected over Hong Kong on August 3 are the main factors keeping the highest temperature centered on 28–29 °C in trader assessments. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models indicates a moist southwesterly flow bringing widespread rain and limited insolation, which suppresses daytime heating relative to the August climatological mean of 31–32 °C. Recent seasonal outlooks note normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-range forecasts highlight this transient wet pattern that favors values near the lower end of the typical range. Key variables still in play include the exact timing of any breaks in cloud and localized thunderstorm intensity, with updated model runs and Observatory briefings expected to refine the maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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