Traders view the 96-99°F range as the most probable outcome for Houston’s August 19 high temperature because National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a classic late-summer high-pressure regime with light winds and dew points in the mid-70s. Afternoon humidity near 65 percent and the timing of any Gulf sea-breeze front or scattered convection remain the primary variables that could keep readings at 96-97°F versus allowing brief clearing to reach 98-99°F. With 24-hour uncertainty still present in both the GFS and ECMWF solutions, the market reflects the narrow scientific spread between these scenarios rather than any single outlier forecast. Official verification from the Houston Intercontinental Airport station will determine resolution once the daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日休斯敦的最高溫度？
8月19日休斯敦的最高溫度？
98-99°F 45%
96-97°F 45%
100-101°F 10%
106-107°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
華氏89度或以下
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
45%
98-99°F
45%
100-101°F
10%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
4%
華氏108度或更高
<1%
98-99°F 45%
96-97°F 45%
100-101°F 10%
106-107°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
華氏89度或以下
$38 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$10 交易量
1%
92-93°F
$38 交易量
3%
94-95°F
$132 交易量
4%
96-97°F
$200 交易量
45%
98-99°F
$48 交易量
45%
100-101°F
$98 交易量
10%
102-103°F
$18 交易量
3%
104-105°F
$40 交易量
<1%
106-107°F
$10 交易量
4%
華氏108度或更高
$53 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders view the 96-99°F range as the most probable outcome for Houston’s August 19 high temperature because National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a classic late-summer high-pressure regime with light winds and dew points in the mid-70s. Afternoon humidity near 65 percent and the timing of any Gulf sea-breeze front or scattered convection remain the primary variables that could keep readings at 96-97°F versus allowing brief clearing to reach 98-99°F. With 24-hour uncertainty still present in both the GFS and ECMWF solutions, the market reflects the narrow scientific spread between these scenarios rather than any single outlier forecast. Official verification from the Houston Intercontinental Airport station will determine resolution once the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
交易量
$687結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders view the 96-99°F range as the most probable outcome for Houston’s August 19 high temperature because National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a classic late-summer high-pressure regime with light winds and dew points in the mid-70s. Afternoon humidity near 65 percent and the timing of any Gulf sea-breeze front or scattered convection remain the primary variables that could keep readings at 96-97°F versus allowing brief clearing to reach 98-99°F. With 24-hour uncertainty still present in both the GFS and ECMWF solutions, the market reflects the narrow scientific spread between these scenarios rather than any single outlier forecast. Official verification from the Houston Intercontinental Airport station will determine resolution once the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$687結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETTraders view the 96-99°F range as the most probable outcome for Houston’s August 19 high temperature because National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a classic late-summer high-pressure regime with light winds and dew points in the mid-70s. Afternoon humidity near 65 percent and the timing of any Gulf sea-breeze front or scattered convection remain the primary variables that could keep readings at 96-97°F versus allowing brief clearing to reach 98-99°F. With 24-hour uncertainty still present in both the GFS and ECMWF solutions, the market reflects the narrow scientific spread between these scenarios rather than any single outlier forecast. Official verification from the Houston Intercontinental Airport station will determine resolution once the daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions