Forecast models from Brazilian meteorological agencies project a maximum of 31–32°C in São Paulo on August 19 under persistent high-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and light winds that enhance daytime solar heating while limiting moisture. Afternoon relative humidity falling below 30% supports efficient warming, positioning these values as the market’s dominant outcomes with combined implied probability near 90%. Historical August averages near 25°C provide context for the elevated readings, though model consensus on steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing keeps 30°C and 33°C as plausible tails. Updated guidance through the morning will refine exact peak values ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日聖保羅的最高溫度?
31°C 51%
32°C 37%
30°C 8%
33°C 5%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
51%
32°C
37%
33°C
5%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 51%
32°C 37%
30°C 8%
33°C 5%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
51%
32°C
37%
33°C
5%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from Brazilian meteorological agencies project a maximum of 31–32°C in São Paulo on August 19 under persistent high-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and light winds that enhance daytime solar heating while limiting moisture. Afternoon relative humidity falling below 30% supports efficient warming, positioning these values as the market’s dominant outcomes with combined implied probability near 90%. Historical August averages near 25°C provide context for the elevated readings, though model consensus on steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing keeps 30°C and 33°C as plausible tails. Updated guidance through the morning will refine exact peak values ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions