Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a highest temperature near downtown Los Angeles or LAX of 76–79 °F on August 3, keeping the 78–79 °F bin narrowly ahead in trader consensus. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer are expected to moderate daytime heating despite clear skies, while any slight delay in fog clearance or modest strengthening of the sea breeze could cap readings at 76–77 °F. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, with limited upside risk from offshore flow or subsidence that would be needed to reach 80 °F or higher. Updated NWS forecast discussions and 00Z/12Z model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日洛杉磯的最高溫度？
8月3日洛杉磯的最高溫度？
78-79°F 42%
76-77°F 35%
80-81°F 14%
74-75°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
華氏71度或以下
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
華氏90度或以上
<1%
78-79°F 42%
76-77°F 35%
80-81°F 14%
74-75°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
華氏71度或以下
$68 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$404 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$37 交易量
9%
76-77°F
$82 交易量
35%
78-79°F
$290 交易量
42%
80-81°F
$131 交易量
14%
82-83°F
$30 交易量
2%
84-85°F
$34 交易量
2%
86-87°F
$51 交易量
1%
88-89°F
$132 交易量
1%
華氏90度或以上
$135 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a highest temperature near downtown Los Angeles or LAX of 76–79 °F on August 3, keeping the 78–79 °F bin narrowly ahead in trader consensus. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer are expected to moderate daytime heating despite clear skies, while any slight delay in fog clearance or modest strengthening of the sea breeze could cap readings at 76–77 °F. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, with limited upside risk from offshore flow or subsidence that would be needed to reach 80 °F or higher. Updated NWS forecast discussions and 00Z/12Z model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
交易量
$1,396結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a highest temperature near downtown Los Angeles or LAX of 76–79 °F on August 3, keeping the 78–79 °F bin narrowly ahead in trader consensus. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer are expected to moderate daytime heating despite clear skies, while any slight delay in fog clearance or modest strengthening of the sea breeze could cap readings at 76–77 °F. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, with limited upside risk from offshore flow or subsidence that would be needed to reach 80 °F or higher. Updated NWS forecast discussions and 00Z/12Z model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,396結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETLatest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a highest temperature near downtown Los Angeles or LAX of 76–79 °F on August 3, keeping the 78–79 °F bin narrowly ahead in trader consensus. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer are expected to moderate daytime heating despite clear skies, while any slight delay in fog clearance or modest strengthening of the sea breeze could cap readings at 76–77 °F. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, with limited upside risk from offshore flow or subsidence that would be needed to reach 80 °F or higher. Updated NWS forecast discussions and 00Z/12Z model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions