Current PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 2 indicate a daytime high near 33°C with an 80% rain chance, aligning with trader focus on the 31–33°C cluster. The southwest monsoon drives elevated humidity and frequent cloud cover that typically caps afternoon peaks, while scattered showers can suppress maximum temperatures by limiting solar heating. Model consensus from long-range guidance places the most likely range at 30–34°C, with differentiation hinging on exact timing of convection and any localized sea-breeze effects near Manila Bay. Historical August averages hover around 31°C, yet day-to-day variability from monsoon bursts creates the narrow market spreads observed. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
8月2日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
33°C 27%
32°C 24%
31°C 19%
34°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
11%
31°C
19%
32°C
24%
33°C
27%
34°C
15%
35°C
1%
36°C或更高
2%
33°C 27%
32°C 24%
31°C 19%
34°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
26°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
27°C
$10 交易量
2%
28°C
$25 交易量
2%
29°C
$20 交易量
3%
30°C
$0 交易量
11%
31°C
$0 交易量
19%
32°C
$0 交易量
24%
33°C
$0 交易量
27%
34°C
$0 交易量
15%
35°C
$10 交易量
1%
36°C或更高
$10 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 2 indicate a daytime high near 33°C with an 80% rain chance, aligning with trader focus on the 31–33°C cluster. The southwest monsoon drives elevated humidity and frequent cloud cover that typically caps afternoon peaks, while scattered showers can suppress maximum temperatures by limiting solar heating. Model consensus from long-range guidance places the most likely range at 30–34°C, with differentiation hinging on exact timing of convection and any localized sea-breeze effects near Manila Bay. Historical August averages hover around 31°C, yet day-to-day variability from monsoon bursts creates the narrow market spreads observed. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$75結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 2 indicate a daytime high near 33°C with an 80% rain chance, aligning with trader focus on the 31–33°C cluster. The southwest monsoon drives elevated humidity and frequent cloud cover that typically caps afternoon peaks, while scattered showers can suppress maximum temperatures by limiting solar heating. Model consensus from long-range guidance places the most likely range at 30–34°C, with differentiation hinging on exact timing of convection and any localized sea-breeze effects near Manila Bay. Historical August averages hover around 31°C, yet day-to-day variability from monsoon bursts creates the narrow market spreads observed. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$75結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 2 indicate a daytime high near 33°C with an 80% rain chance, aligning with trader focus on the 31–33°C cluster. The southwest monsoon drives elevated humidity and frequent cloud cover that typically caps afternoon peaks, while scattered showers can suppress maximum temperatures by limiting solar heating. Model consensus from long-range guidance places the most likely range at 30–34°C, with differentiation hinging on exact timing of convection and any localized sea-breeze effects near Manila Bay. Historical August averages hover around 31°C, yet day-to-day variability from monsoon bursts creates the narrow market spreads observed. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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