Latest forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a daily high near 27°C for Mexico City on August 2, driven by moderate subtropical ridging allowing daytime heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation while scattered afternoon convection typical of the North American monsoon season limits further warming. Historical August averages hover around 24–25°C, but recent model runs show slightly above-normal insolation and dew points supporting peaks of 26–28°C before evening thunderstorms develop. Market-implied odds cluster on these values because traders weigh ensemble consensus against resolution criteria tied to official station maxima, with minimal upside risk from stronger high-pressure buildup and downside from heavier rainfall. Updated guidance expected from national weather services on August 1 will likely refine the exact threshold before final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日墨西哥城的最高溫度？
8月2日墨西哥城的最高溫度？
27°C 46%
28°C 29%
26°C 18%
25°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
18%
27°C
46%
28°C
29%
29°C
4%
30°C或以上
1%
27°C 46%
28°C 29%
26°C 18%
25°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
20°C或以下
$241 交易量
<1%
21°C
$237 交易量
<1%
22°C
$233 交易量
<1%
23°C
$229 交易量
1%
24°C
$328 交易量
2%
25°C
$276 交易量
6%
26°C
$567 交易量
18%
27°C
$2,746 交易量
46%
28°C
$744 交易量
29%
29°C
$476 交易量
4%
30°C或以上
$243 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a daily high near 27°C for Mexico City on August 2, driven by moderate subtropical ridging allowing daytime heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation while scattered afternoon convection typical of the North American monsoon season limits further warming. Historical August averages hover around 24–25°C, but recent model runs show slightly above-normal insolation and dew points supporting peaks of 26–28°C before evening thunderstorms develop. Market-implied odds cluster on these values because traders weigh ensemble consensus against resolution criteria tied to official station maxima, with minimal upside risk from stronger high-pressure buildup and downside from heavier rainfall. Updated guidance expected from national weather services on August 1 will likely refine the exact threshold before final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$6,319結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a daily high near 27°C for Mexico City on August 2, driven by moderate subtropical ridging allowing daytime heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation while scattered afternoon convection typical of the North American monsoon season limits further warming. Historical August averages hover around 24–25°C, but recent model runs show slightly above-normal insolation and dew points supporting peaks of 26–28°C before evening thunderstorms develop. Market-implied odds cluster on these values because traders weigh ensemble consensus against resolution criteria tied to official station maxima, with minimal upside risk from stronger high-pressure buildup and downside from heavier rainfall. Updated guidance expected from national weather services on August 1 will likely refine the exact threshold before final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,319結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETLatest forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a daily high near 27°C for Mexico City on August 2, driven by moderate subtropical ridging allowing daytime heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation while scattered afternoon convection typical of the North American monsoon season limits further warming. Historical August averages hover around 24–25°C, but recent model runs show slightly above-normal insolation and dew points supporting peaks of 26–28°C before evening thunderstorms develop. Market-implied odds cluster on these values because traders weigh ensemble consensus against resolution criteria tied to official station maxima, with minimal upside risk from stronger high-pressure buildup and downside from heavier rainfall. Updated guidance expected from national weather services on August 1 will likely refine the exact threshold before final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions