Current forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service indicate Miami will experience typical mid-summer conditions on July 22, with afternoon highs supported by subtropical moisture, light winds, and sea-breeze effects that moderate extremes. Historical July averages near 90–92°F align with the market’s leading implied probabilities clustering on 90–93°F outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance showing limited potential for significant deviation. Afternoon convection may cap peak readings, while any delay in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could nudge values slightly lower. Updated model runs and the final official observation will determine resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月22日邁阿密的最高溫度?
92-93°F 56%
90-91°F 32%
94-95°F 9%
88-89°F 3.1%
$11,772 交易量
$11,772 交易量
華氏81度或以下
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
32%
92-93°F
56%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100°F或以上
<1%
92-93°F 56%
90-91°F 32%
94-95°F 9%
88-89°F 3.1%
$11,772 交易量
$11,772 交易量
華氏81度或以下
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
32%
92-93°F
56%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100°F或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 20, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service indicate Miami will experience typical mid-summer conditions on July 22, with afternoon highs supported by subtropical moisture, light winds, and sea-breeze effects that moderate extremes. Historical July averages near 90–92°F align with the market’s leading implied probabilities clustering on 90–93°F outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance showing limited potential for significant deviation. Afternoon convection may cap peak readings, while any delay in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could nudge values slightly lower. Updated model runs and the final official observation will determine resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions